Tuesday, January 18, 2022

Let's talk 2024

 So...there's been a lot of talk about 2024 recently in the blogsphere and internet news reporting, and it's really unclear what's happening.

Biden's losing popularity like a rock in free fall. There's a lot of rumblings to replace him with someone else, like Harris, Pete, Klobuchar, etc., but here's the problem with that. The systemic factors that are contributing to Biden's popularity decline....won't be saved just by replacing them with another dittohead.

That's the fallacious logic of the democrats. They don't understand that the problem with the democrats is...the democrats, so they think merely replacing one figurehead with another will solve all problems. You know, like voters are stupid. Sadly, some are, but let's be honest. You could easily replace Biden with another equivalent candidate ideologically and you'll get the same result. Why? because they're the same thing as what you have. Any change is just the placebo effect of a different face.

I think this guys really buy that Obama hype too much, thinking if you get a cool charismatic black guy, you can repackage the same old politics in a more palatable form. What if I told you that Hillary lost in 2016 because she was a third term of Obama that no one wanted? What if I told you that Biden is just white male Hillary? That's how I see it. While there are personality differences between them that might make some difference, with obama being more charismatic, and Hillary being more blunt about how worthless she would be in office, let's face it, they're all ditto heads, you could replace one with another, and nothing would fundamentally change. 

The progressive wing as we know it seems done. Bernie is too old. Nina Turner I'm not sure will have the popularity given she can't even win a deep blue house primary. And honestly, I'm kinda cooling on the hard left anyway.

Marriane Williamson is being touted as a 2024 candidate recently. I don't know if she would have the experience to be good, but honestly, she's grown on me a lot. I was originally in the camp that she was a bit of a loon but after listening to her speak on Yang's podcast and others, eh...I find her relatable, especially given the spiritual direction I've gone in recent years. She means well, she believes in progressive ideals, and she would fight for them. She's also pretty comfortable with Yang and seems to like UBI, so I could see her being closer to me than a traditional progressive would be anyway. 

And of course, there's Yang. Yang isn't declaring anything, but he did hint recently on his podcast he believes SOME third party challenge will come in 2022, I wonder if he was talking about himself. previously he talked about not running against the democrats and splitting the vote, but more recent rhetoric seems to indicate he might be willing to use his platform to do it, even suggesting, when talking with Williamson this week that maybe forward should hold their primaries later if they do run someone, so that all of the losers from the two parties can jump in. I might be willing to get a piece of that action if so. 

Honestly, I think something like a Yang/Williamson ticket for 2024 would be one of the best things that could happen given the current environment. I mean let's face it. With the GOP they're either gonna run Trump again or you're gonna get a loon like DeSantis, or someone like Mike Pence...and on the democratic side, if Biden doesn't run, they'll just run one of the aforementioned dittoheads. 

That said unless it looks likely that a progressive can win within the dems, I might just be better off putting my energy in a third party. Forward would be ideal, given my ideals are basically human centered capitalism. Greens are tolerable, but let's face it, I'm not huge on the ego socialism focus. I don't see the future as jobs programs and the like. I'd rather see UBI and a more moderate economic approach that doesn't bring us closer to "socialism." 

Anyway, that's my take. For now, Yang/Williamson 2024, although i could go for a dem if someone like Williamson runs and actually gets somewhere. I think Yang and Williamson understand the situation we're in, and they're starting to say "yeah maybe if you marginalize us, maybe we WON'T support you in the general". A good development to see. You can't get anywhere playing nice with these people. if you can't beat them from within, beat them from the outside. Just beat them.

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