Discussing just how screwed the GOP is

 So, Kyle Kulinski covered a story noting that if the 2024 election were held again today, Harris would win by 8 points according to one poll. This is a shift of 9 points since 2024 to the left. To be fair, it's only one poll, but to be fair, this seems to be aligned with other data. As I recently pointed out in my 2026 house forecast, the generic congressional vote shifted 8 points since 2024. This is what the presidential would look like under these conditions. 

 All 7 swing states would go Harris in a hypothetical 2028 matchup, and then we'd be seeing Ohio, Florida, Iowa, and Texas starting to turn pink. Now, kyle mentioned that the poll he looked at may have underestimated democratic votes, which means we could see a D+10-12 scenario. Keep in mind, at D+11.2, we flip ohio. At D+13-14, we start seeing the above states, flipping. Beyond that, it gets harder, i didnt measure beyond that in this chart, but I think the next wave of states is stuff like Montana, Indiana, South Carolina, and Missouri which were all like D+15-20 if I recall. Those likely wont flip under ANY circumstance. But with that said, are states like ohio and texas really on the table? polling seems to indicate its possible. I wouldnt count on it, and I still stand by something like R+5 in texas, but yeah. It's possible. And that is a bad sign for the GOP. 

Again, this is why they're trying to push the Save Act and stuff. They can't win legitimately so their only option is voter suppression. We can't let them win as that backslides us into autocracy. The GOP has been on borrowed time for a while, and we need to deliver some blows that will destroy them in their current form. They wont disappear forever, but if they end up getting wrecked 1930s style, they'll have to come back more moderate to win.  And that's what we want. We want the democrats to move left, and the GOP to moderate to something more akin to what they were when Eisenhower and Nixon were the standard bearers of the party. 

Im not sure the dems can win on that level, but I do think we can do some 2008-2012 style victories after all's said and done. The real question is whether they can keep power. Im not really sure. I suspect if we get a moderate, it'll go the same way the Biden administration did where the country sours on that too. Idk. We'll have to see.