Discussing Texas primary results

 So, Paxton officially beat Cornyn, and it wasn't even close. It was a 28 point swing. This is surprising, but also unsurprising. The race was pretty close until Trump endorsed paxton, and then the last crop of polls had Paxton up 10-20 points. Trump's endorsement really did a lot of heavy lifting here. Still, I didn't think it would be this extreme. Still, when an endorsement swings a race shortly before it happens to such a degree, there's no way for polls to properly measure the shift. Polls are, after all, a lagging indicator. They'e a snapshot in time, and if the race drastically changes at the last minute, ANYTHING can happen. 

Still, I suspect Trump's endorsement here is also the kiss of death for the republicans' chances at holding the seat. While the polling favored Talarico either way, the polls generally favor a matchup vs Paxton, with a 1.5% lead for Talarico. IN TEXAS! This is why my senate map is so wonky. I got blue texas, blue iowa, blue (well, purple...) nebraska, blue alaska, it's crazy. This crap shouldn't be happening according to conventional knowledge and how people voted in 2024. But...it is, because Trump is crapping the bed on the economy so hard. You really don't wanna mess with the Americans on the economy. They will eat you alive if you can't deliver for them. And when you got $4.50 gas and Trump going on about how he doesn't care about how the American peoples' plight, you start getting maps like this: 

 When in a sane year, the map would look like this:

 

Maybe a little bluer than that, I mean, NC and ME were pretty flippable even in a normal year, But yeah, anything beyond that should be a tough nut to crack. But here we are with it wide open because polling has shifted ten whole points in favor of democrats. 

And honestly, let this be a lesson to anyone who considers republicans. I know this is a tough lesson for us to learn, but as I see it, as an ex republican myself, what did we learn? That voting republican is NEVER the answer. Seriously. It's not. Even if you dont see eye to eye with democrats, for the love of god, dont vote for the comic book villains that are republicans. It never works out well for the American people. Especially given how crazy the modern GOP is. I get it, glados sucks, I dont like glados either, but you know who you dont vote for to spite glados? Freaking wheatley. Stay home, vote third party, wirte in mickey mouse, just for the love of god, don't vote for republicans. They will always screw you. Stove hot. Dont touch stove. It's a lesson we should only need to learn once, but yeah, let it change you like it changed me back in the day.