Wednesday, January 11, 2023

Building up my own worldview post Christianity

 So, as we discussed in my last article, I left Christianity in large part because its views simply conflicted with reality. The core of the fundamentalist Christian worldview comes down to faith in God and the inerrancy of the Bible above all else, and without that, the whole thing eventually shatters. And while my fundamentalist Christian school more or less tried to brainwash me into this extremist view of believing the world was 6000 years old and blah blah blah, it didn't stick because my experiences after leaving the school ultimately broke that worldview. 

Of course, deconversion from a religion like Christianity is not an easy process, it is very, shall we say, psychologically taxing, and often involves a period in which someone who once had the Christian worldview ends up having to rewrite how they see the world from scratch. So, using David Noebel's worldview framework, I will now be outlining the worldview that came after Christianity for me.

Philosophy

Note how unlike Noebel's framework, which started with theology, as the Christian worldview's linchpin is unwavering belief in God, Jesus Christ, and the Bible, my own framework starts with a good hard look at what reality is, or at least what it seems to be.

I accept two major premises as axioms in my worldview. First, that I exist. As Rene Descartes would say, "I think, therefore I am." Something is thinking, something is having thoughts, and that thing is me. It exists. I exist. 

The second major premise is SLIGHTLY more controversial, but still reasonable. The universe exists. I am clearly interacting with some sort of permanent environment. Some may doubt it's reality, claiming it's all a dream or we're all brains in a vat or that solipsism is valid, but I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that we can deduce that for all intents and purposes, this physical reality exists. This is not to say that this is the only reality, or the ultimate reality, but if something else exists, we kind of need evidence of it existing, and we need that evidence to be reliable. I'm not saying there can't be other existences outside of our own. We could be missing a lot by focusing on just the physical. But, the physical is what we know exists, and it's our most immediate reality and it's the one thing we can demonstrate. Until evidence is presented that this reality is false, I think that it is more reasonable to accept its existence. 

From there, I will argue that not only does this reality exist, but that we can use various means of attaining knowledge in order to learn more about it. We can observe how reality works, and when done rigorously through the scientific method, we can derive truths about the world that seem to hold up in the sense that they are observable and repeatable. We can also use tools like logic and math to postulate new truths based on what we know, and assuming our methodology is accurate, we can go out there and test these truths and verify them via science. We might, for example, use math to deduce there is a supermassive black hole in the center of our galaxy, and then observe the gravitational forces of such a black hole. So not all knowledge is direct observation, but I would argue that what is discovered via other means should hold up to direct observation. If an engineer uses math to argue for a new type of bridge construction, we should construct such a bridge and test it. If it holds up, cool, we just used math to discover something new and verified it scientifically. If it falls apart, then we find out what went wrong and adjust our worldviews accordingly. 

Christians like to tout thir worldview as a relationship with God....I like to tout mine as a relationship with reality. Reality matters above all else, and unless we can verify something with what we already have, there often isn't a good reason to believe it.

Theology

I start from a perspective or agnostic or weak atheism here. Christians like to portray atheists as confident that a god does not exist, but most of them are not. The idea of being able to say with 100% confidence that a god or other realm of existence simply does not exist is foolish. You cant prove that unless you can look over every rock to ever exist and know everything about everything. And by then, would you not effectively be god yourself? We are always going to have some blind spots in our views, and we cannot simply account for every veriable possible. No one can claim absolute knowledge on this subject in the negative. This is not to say we can't come somewhat close and conclude things within reasonable confidence intervals, but we can always be wrong.

Agnostic atheism or weak atheism is the idea that maybe a god is out there, maybe we are just a brain in a vat, what have you, but we are going to operate under the principle that god does not exist, until we are reasonably certain they do. We are not simply going to assume it as part of our worldview, like everything else, we need evidence. Russell's teapot is a common analogy used to discuss the existence of god. Maybe there is a tea pot orbiting Jupiter. We cannot prove that there isn't, unless we can look at every object that orbits jupiter, it could always exist in the gaps in our knowledge, but at the same time, we are not going to claim that it is, until there is proper evidence for it. Claims need evidence to support them, and if theists cannot provide convincing evidence, then we should not believe their claims.

Many theists will make poor arguments like arguments from design in order to shoehorn their worldview into existence, but in my opinion these arguments are often flawed and not convincing. The fact is, we simply do not know enough about how, for example, the universe came into being in any way. Our event horizon is the big bang. It's possible that yes some sort of creator made it. It's also possible, due to the nature of time being relative, it has always existed and time is merely one's frame of reference. It's possible there is some larger cycle of births of universes within a larger metaverse we do not know about. We simply do not know. Not knowing doesn't mean "god", much less a specific version of god. 

Which brings us to another issue. Even if we could conclude that god exists, which god? What is this god like? The Christian framework not only introduces the idea that a creator god exists, it claims many many things about its nature in the Bible. God could exist, but if the Bible is false, the actual god could be a much different kind of being than presented.

I would also argue that many claims made by Noebel in his book such as the mind-body problem are faulty. If we are going to appeal to supernatural ideas like souls or "ghosts in the machine" so to speak over natural processes, once again, what evidence do you have to make your claims? I'm not saying the mind body problem is not a problem, but with a worldview that starts off with naturalism and requires evidence to build off of it, Christians and other theists need to stop simply using gaps in our naturalistic knowledge to shoehorn the idea of a god or souls or whatever other agenda they have. 

Theology (Cosmic Humanism)

So, that said, why do I believe anything supernatural at all? This is a relatively late development in my worldview, but I feel forced to accept this. 

I would argue my spiritual views do come from a form of special revelation. Regarding some more personal stuff, which I won't discuss the details of, there was a situation that made me question my faith. It was the big stressor that really got the ball rolling and made the entire christian worldview collapse on me. I won't say that I lost my faith simply BECAUSE of it. As we know the seeds of destruction were there for years, but this was the big one that really pushed me to really take a hard look at everything and question it. 

Ultimately, I looked at the issue from every possible angle, and I just ended up having to conclude god didn't exist. Unless there was something major that I was missing, I just couldn't see the outcome of the situation turn out any differently. If that makes any sense at all. As far as what that something major was, well, I did have ONE idea, but the problem was, it was an extreme long shot. I would say, roughly 10,000 to 1. Meaning I could be 99.99% certain of my conclusion.

However, one day, years later, I found myself in a situation to test that crazy theory of mine. I just did it in order to prove it couldn't have happened since it kept nagging me, but then when I did, I ended up proving my crazy theory right, against all of the odds. It screwed me up in the head so bad that I actually spent like the next half a year just thinking about it, analyzing it, and trying to do research on where I go from there. The conclusion I reached was that yeah, it was a real "miracle" of sorts, and that I had to accept it. 

I mean, a lot of hardcore atheists will say, well if a million to one shot happens to you that's not a big deal because of the law of large numbers and 8 one in a million coincidences happen in NYC every day. Okay, fair enough. But, to counter that, first of all, this was a weird off the wall hypothesis of mine. It was not any random coincidence, it was the fact that it was a very specific coincidence that I could test that ended up doing it for me. And when you do tests in social science,in order to tell the difference between a coincidence and a genuine phenomenon, one uses statistical significance. If the result is what the hypothesis expects, and the odds of it happening by chance are low enough, then we can conclude the hypothesis is correct to a certain level of confidence. The lowest bar generally accepted is 95%, which is commonly used in social science. Here, I could be 99.99% confident, which far exceeds a reasonable confidence interval. So I am forced to accept the conclusion.

I recognize that this could be a matter of chance, there always is that chance. But as I like to say, going back to my axiom about the universe existing, we could all be brains in a vat. The chance of that is nonzero. The thing is, at some point you have to accept this conclusion as true. And my standard was met, so I'm going with it. If you just wave off all possible data as falling within the law of large numbers, you can't conclude much of anything. Any standard is going to have an error rate, a potential for the reasonable conclusion to be wrong, and I feel like I am on solid ground to accept the concept of a god on a personal level.

This is not to say that you have to reach the same conclusion. For the purposes of the rest of this worldview exercise, I am going to be assuming the agnostic atheist position and basing my views based on that. Quite frankly, I would not say my experience is sufficient evidence to convince other people, and you should do your own research and draw your own conclusions. Follow the evidence, is what I am going to say. I am just including this for the sake of transparency. It does not change the rest of my worldview for the most part, and I would argue based on what I've deduced into my research in the matter, my entire experience with leaving Christianity was designed to push me to the same conclusions I'm trying to push anyway. So I'm just going to do that. 

Biology/History I

Going back to the secular worldview, what can we deduce via science about biology and the general cosmology of the world around us?

Well, we can deduce that 13 billion years ago, there was an event called the big bang, in which an infinitesimal speck expanded into what is the universe. We do not know what caused it, or if there even is a cause. We just know it happened, and from that everything that we know to exists exists. This big bang formed galaxies, and stars, including our sun, and planets, including earth. Life arose from a process that we do not quite understand, and began simply, eventually evolving into more complex life forms. Human beings are an exceptionally intelligent lifeform that exists in the animal kingdom. They ended up winning the evolution game of natural selection, at least for the moment, and have established domination over the planet earth, existing on six of the seven continents, and building massive civilizations. This is largely due to features like our overly large brains, and having appendages like hands with opposable thumbs that allow us to manipulate our environment into whatever we see fit. 

Ethics

So, the Christian worldview mentioned ethics at this stage in their worldview development. I was going to hold off on this, because I want to discuss ethics more in detail later, perhaps before I really sort out the concept of law, but given I was going to open my psychology section about the concept of human nature, I feel like this section is better placed here.

In the Christian worldview, ethics come from God. God is seen as a huge cosmic dictator of sorts who tells people what is right and wrong, on the basis they they are smarter than us and all knowing. But, if we are going to assume a universe with an agnostic atheist perspective on God, I am just going to say it. There is no real reason to assume any inherent morality or purpose to the universe at all whatsoever. Whatever we call ethics and morality, are human made concepts. They do not exist in the state of nature, because the state of nature is defined by evolution and natural selection. There is also no inherent purpose to the universe or anything.

I would also argue that a god existing does not necessarily change anything either. Because of the euthyphro dilemma. The euthyphro dilemma asks if" the good and just is good and just because God wills it, or whether god wills it because it is good and just." Basically, is something moral because God says so, or if God says so because it is good and just. Essentially, this boils down to a test of whether morality is actually contingent on god or not. If something is good just because god says so, then that's problematic. We could say that eternally torturing people is good under those circumstances. heck, many christians would argue such a thing. But, this is problematic. If good really is contingent on what God says, then morality can be anything God wants it to be and it is arbitrary. But if morality is contingent on something else other than god, then that brings God to simply be a messenger of what is good and evil, rather than the source of it.

I know Christians, including Noebel, as he addressed this specifically in "Understanding the Times", will say that well it's not that God SAYS it's good, it's more that goodness is his nature, or something along those lines. But that's just....redefining that first prong of the dilemma. We are simply defining god as perfectly moral and then claiming whatever is good is good because it conforms with his character. What if God is an ###hole? Well, according to Christians, god can't be an ###hole, because he is inherently the good guy. So apparently all of those genocides in Joshua and all of those people burning in hell had it coming, simply because God deemed it so. It doesn't really change anything. 

And for me, this is absurd. I would argue morality does depend more thoroughly on external principles that conform with our physical universe. And without a god to tell us what it is, we need to derive it ourselves. The concept is largely human made and human centered. What is good and what is evil? Goodness, I would say is that which generally provides pleasure or otherwise enhances our lives. Something is good if it makes us feel good, or makes us healthy, or makes us live longer and with a higher quality of life. Something is bad if it inflicts unnecessary suffering, death, unpleasantness, or otherwise causes the opposite of these things in the previous sentence. 

The basis for these things being moral and immoral and ultimately up to the collective human consciousness. It is largely subjective, and humans often cannot agree on that which is moral and that which is immoral because varying systems have developed over the years that are based on fundamentally different principles.

Still, I would say any valid system would ultimately attempt to achieve some sort of utilitarian end that leads to human happiness, increased well being, and longer life with higher quality of life. 

I would also say that there is no inherent purpose to anything, and no inherent source of right or wrong that does not come from ourselves. The universe is cold and does not give or crap. As I said, the universe is the environment that gave us natural selection where the weak die and the strong survive. It is humans who decide, within this environment, to practice ethics to make our existence on this planet better.

Psychology

I do not have a solid stance on human nature either way. Humans are capable of great good, and also great evil. We are also the ones who judge others for committing acts of good and evil. If we think that human nature sucks, it is not that we fail to meet God's standards, but our own. The same applies the other way, is it not humans who establish these high standards in the first place? We make these rules, laws, and ethical systems, and then we judge ourselves when we fail to meet them. We are our own worst enemy, but also our greatest ally. 

If I had to give a further stance on human nature, I would say that we are mostly selfish. Everything we do is in our self interest, or the interest of whatever in group we see ourselves as a part of. We prefer ourselves, our families, or our country or tribe or identity, over others. Even if we concede our self interest in the near term, we seek it in the long term. Any time we commit a sacrificial act, we often do so for others who we care about. This is evolutionary. We seek our own self preservation, but also the preservation of our bloodlines, our families, our communities, etc. 

I would generally accept the concept of Maslow's hierarchy of needs here. We generally prefer our basic needs fulfilled like air, water, food, shelter, etc. We prefer to have security in our lives. And then once those needs essential to our physical well being exist, we prefer to seek out higher needs like social acceptance and belonging, prestige and feelings of accomplishment, and self actualization. This is not to say that this hierarchy is strict. Arguably the different stages overlap with each other, and we may prefer things somewhat out of order, but I would say that basic needs like our physiological needs and security are more important than our higher needs, at least in the immediate term. One cannot care about their higher needs if their lower needs are not met. 

I also would accept the existence of mental illnesses. Scientific explanations would show that many mental illnesses are real. Many of which can be associated with biology or such related defects. And sometimes they can be solved the way a physical illness can. For example, depression is often related to chemical imbalances in the brain and can be solved (or at least controlled) with medication. 

On the other hand, some mental illnesses come from the environment. From a sociological point of view, mental illness often comes from failures of social systems to provide a positive environment for people. Take how the feeling of anomie, or a mismatch between the norms and values society claims to hold, and the reality of society, tends to create a lot of mental distress in people and drives them to suicide. Or take how experiences of war can cause PTSD. As such, sociology and psychology are not necessarily unrelated. Environment does influence the person. 

For this reason, I will offer some criticism of the field of modern psychiatry. Sometimes what we define as mental illness is subjective, and sometimes rather than approach it from the environmental angle and solve the problem in that way, we often suggest people adapt to the harmful environment that causes the problems in the first place. We might just drug people down and gaslight them into accepting a bad environment related to the pitfalls of capitalism (see: my stance on economics), when their mental illness is directly caused by that adverse environment. So I do think that mental illnesses are real and often do need to be treated, sometimes what we call mental illness can be a healthy response to an unhealthy environment, and I believe people should recognize that more.

But yeah, I would sum up my psychological perspective of human nature is neither good nor bad, but selfish. Humans try to meet both lower physical needs and higher psychological needs. And ultimately, mental illness does exist and should be treated as science, medicine, and also sociology tend to allow. However, I would like to see more focus on how bad sociological environments create more mental illness and rather than just treating people by making them conform to a bad environment, we work on changing the environment to reduce the incidence of mental illness in the first place. I will likely be addressing this further when we get to economics.

Sociology

Whereas psychology generally tends to study people on an individual level, sociology studies people on a society level. The discipline broadly looks at how society structures itself, and things like the norms and values it holds, and the social structures it has. Relative to Christianity, it is very open minded with how society can structure itself. While Christianity offers a prescriptive idea of what society should be, separating it into "god ordained institutions", no institutions are really god ordained and people can live in a variety of ways. 

There are generally three major lenses through with society and its structures are observed.

Conflict theory- This theory is based on the works of people like Karl Marx and Max Weber, and focus on how different parts of society may conflict with each other. It may look at how values, norms, and social structures may unfairly benefit one group at the expense of others. It may, for example, look at how the economy is structured to benefit the very rich over the poor, or how our policing system tends treat African Americans unfairly. While this lens is interpreted very critically and negative by conservative elements like the Christian worldview, who tends to lean into things like "personal responsibility" and free will more, this paradigm actually does have a lot of evidence to back it up and is very useful at examining how certain social structures may unfairly advantage some over others.

Structural functionalism- Structural functionalism is the general idea of looking at how a certain norm, value, or social structure contributes to society "working". After all, a dysfunctional society is one that tends to fail. We don't want society to fail, after all. A conflict theorist might look at the work environment, and see how it unfairly benefits bosses and employers over workers. However, a structural functionalist may argue that we need someone giving orders and someone else following them and if we didn't we would have chaos. Both lenses have their own advantages and disadvantages. Conservatives, such as fundamental Christians, default to certain kinds of social structures based on structural functionalism. David Noebel argued that capitalism is preferable over socialism because capitalism works and socialism doesn't. He also argues that marriage works and sexual liberation doesn't. However, conservatives generally lean in to functionalist arguments too much, often claiming if we don't do things a certain way that things just won't work, but then sociologists might observe people doing things another way, such as tribal systems for raising children in Africa and stuff like that, and note that it works in their society. Again, real sociology is a lot more open minded than Christians who have the "this is the one single wayTM to do things and anything else will lead to disaster."

Symbolic interactionism- This particular paradigm tends to approach things from a more subjective direction. It might look at the value that different societies give to their culture, and things like the values and norms, which go beyond just who benefits from such ideas (conflict theory) and whether such ideas contribute to a functioning society (functionalism). I would argue that a lot of sentiments about say, the value of a job, are a form of symbolic interactionism. Joe Biden once argued that "a job is about a lot more than just a paycheck. It's about dignity. it's about respect. It's about being able to look your kid in the eye and say everything will be okay. Too many people today can't do that, and it's got to change." Now, people who are long time followers of mine will know what I think about this subject, because I come at this subject from a much more "conflict" oriented perspective. But, when doing sociology, one cannot ignore the subjective value that our culture places on work, and sociology via symbolic interactionism is going to look at such a viewpoint without judgment, letting people in society speak to the social value of this institution. 

While I understand and respect all three of these paradigms, I generally tend to lean more heavily into conflict theory and structural functionalism. When I propose ideas for how to improve society, I generally support disregarding things such as the subjective value we might give certain social structures to some extent (such as the idea of a job). Rather, I tend to view such things from a different lens, focusing more on things like the conflict side of it, and in proposing my solutions, I highly value maintaining a functioning society. My views are no good to everyone if they make society fall apart, you know?

So I will tend to look at things mostly from a lens of who benefits from this, and also "does this work". And I largely try to make society better through those two lenses. The reason I don't lean into symbolic interactionism as much is because I am more interested in making my own values, than just parroting the values society imposes on me, because as I'm trying to argue in my ethics section, ethics does have some level of subjectivity to it and I will quite frankly disagree with these mainstream interpretations of the values of our institutions, instead arguing my own case for my own policies. That is my entire purpose of performing this exercise, to encourage people to throw aside their existing assumptions about society, and to start looking at things more objectively. There is a lot of crap in peoples' existing worldviews in my opinion, and the point of me writing this is to break that down and make people realize that there are better ways to do things. 

Beyond that, as far as what else I would like to argue here in this section...well, I would like to say that yes, the entire field of sociology operates on the assumptions that society can be observed scientifically, and that some societal structures can have effects on individuals. I argued this to some extent in the psychology section. Yes, having a society in which we promise one thing, and deliver something else, is a cause of a lot of mental anguish, and this anguish can even translate to negative things like suicide (as Emile Durkheim, the founder of sociology discovered). Yes, certain policies that lead to things like economic insecurity can lead to higher crime, and that's bad. These correlations are observable from a scientific perspective just as you would expect from a hard science. While conclusions often come with lower confidence intervals due to the sheer complexity of the subject and how many intermingling variables there are, it's still a scientific discipline backed up by the scientific method and statistics, and to refuse to acknowledge this field of study like conservatives and fundamentalist Christians do is just sticking your head in the sand and denying reality. When Christians say that society doesn't influence individuals, they do it because they fear the conclusions that will have for free will and the rest of their worldview. But from a secular perspective, science is science, evidence is evidence, and that should be respected.

On the topic of free will, I am rather agnostic on the subject. I do not embrace a full on Christian "free will is everything" perspective, but tend to bounce between determinism, ie, the idea that there is NO free will, and that sociological and biological influences influence ALL of our behavior, or compatibilism which tends to recognize that some level of free will can still exist despite sociological influences, and that we still have a choice. From a secular perspective, I always tended to struggle with the subject and would go back and forth about whether free will exists at all. From a more spiritual perspective, I lean toward compatibilism more. 

One thing worth mentioning is in my experience, criminology ultimately cedes that free will exists. It has to, because going back to structural functionalism, if it does not, the entire idea of the justice system falls apart. How can you hold people accountable for their behavior if you do not assume some level of choice to commit crimes or not? And ironically, even from a deterministic perspective, the assumption of free will can in and of itself influence how people act, and the very idea of the justice system could deter some from committing crimes. So even if there are societal influences that determine large extents of one's behavior, we tend to just assume free will exists as a matter of making our system functional.

But then we also have to at times hold society accountable for implementing bad social structures that, for example, increase crime. Capitalism with no safety nets, for example, might drive people to commit crimes of desperation, and punishing people in such situations seems kind of cruel at times. Should we really send people to prison for stealing bread to feed a starving child, for example? No. But at the same time, if we do not, aren't we just legitimizing stealing? These are questions that really deserve some level of consideration. And if you have been following this blog for a while, you may already be familiar with some of my answers to these questions. Or if you read on you will know some of my answers to these questions. 

Law

After looking at ethics, psychology, and sociology, it is probably best that I outline my theory of law.

Ultimately, humans originally existed in a state of nature, an amoral "survival of the fittest" environment, in which life is considered "nasty, brutish, and short" to make a reference to Hobbes. Humans come together and form communities as a survival strategy to enhance their lifespans, their well being, and their happiness. I won't say that the modern nation state is the only way we can do this, as anthropology would show that tribal systems were common throughout human history. However, human history has shown that tribal systems have generally speaking been systematically eliminated and replaced by the nation state over time, and now the nation state is the only entity capable of providing common defense and governance in this modern world. Tribal societies produce stick and spears, industrial societies organized by nation states produce guns and bombs. It's very one sided. 

As you can tell, my worldview here is very cynical. The nation state has, over time, been a force for great evil. Most of them arose around the leadership of an autocratic ruler, and were often enforced by...well...force. However, over time, the nation state, at least in Western culture, has moderated and become more of a force for good in my opinion. Enlightenment ideals shifted them from being based around monarchies based on divine right, with few or no rights or protections for the common person, to implementing concepts like the social contract, in which we generally speaking "consent" to be governed, and in exchange the nation state works for us. Modern Western nation states also have introduced concepts like democracy, voting, separation of powers, checks and balances, constitutions, rights, separation of church and state, etc. These concepts are all positive and provide functional improvements upon the nation state to make it more fair and just. It is better, after all, to have a government by and for the people, and with constraints to protect human well being, than it is to just have a tyrant governing by force. 

To discuss them more in detail, democracy is good because it puts power in the hands of those who are governed and impacted by the decisions, rather than simply in the hands of autocratic rulers who have no accountability to the people they rule over. 

Separation of powers and checks and balances are good because it avoids power being concentrated among too few people, and stops it from being misused. 

Constitutions and rights within them are good because they provide hard limits on what governments can do, and often protect the people from them as a result. For example, a right to free speech stops the government from persecuting people for their political views or religion. Separation of church and state protects both religion, and the state, from each other, correcting a major problem that plagued European governments up to that point. The right to bear arms gives people the ability to protect themselves and puts an additional check on the government. The right to privacy stops the government from intruding on peoples' lives. The right to a fair trial stops people from being persecuted unjustly, once again fixing problems with the justice system in Europe at the time. A right against cruel and unusual punishment stops the government from torturing people. All of these rights have some sort of function and were created to solve some sort of problem that arose from governments in the past. Further rights did stuff like ban slavery, give equal rights to all, and things like that. As you can tell, I see governments as a work in progress, and ultimately many governmental structures we took for granted arose out of the problems of the past. And ideally, governments will continue to improve into the future to become more just, more fair, and to fix the problems that arise within modern society, ideally without creating new ones.

Politics

Similar to the Christian worldview, I also believe in some level of limited government. I support the western model of government based on democracy, separation of powers, and constitutional rights. Unlike Christians, however, my reasoning here is a lot different than they are.

Ultimately, I am a humanist. I believe human institutions are made by and for people, and that they ultimately should serve us. I believe in a government for and by the people, and that our politicians are supposed to serve us, not the other way around.

I also believe that freedom is essential to a good life. My secularism has established a moral framework that separates the idea of public and private ethics. While people can believe and live however they want as long as they do not harm others, I believe we have a duty to stay out of peoples' way. I believe that people are happiest and most fulfilled when they can live the life they want to live, and as such, I do not believe that anyone has a right to impose their subjective ethics on others. Much like John Stuart Mill, I believe that the government should only intervene to prevent harm to others, whether in body, or in respect to their freedom.

Unlike Christians, however, I believe in the concept of progress. I do not believe that ethics are absolute, and that I believe that human society and ethics have a history trial and error where they have improved over time, and that they still have room to improve. The ultimate end is increased human well being, fulfillment, and happiness. 

I do not have the anti utopian mentality of the Christians. While I do understand their reservations with some government actions, fearing it will lead to tyranny and disaster akin to that which was experienced in the USSR, I understand enough from political science and public policy to understand that these risks can be mitigated and overblown. The fact is, the creation of public policy is...a science. We define a problem, we research solutions to the problems, we implement the solution we think is best, we evaluate whether the policy has done its job without creating more negative side effects, and then we course correct from here. The problem with the USSR and communism is that they implemented their ideas by conducting a violent revolution, killing their opposition, and then established an unchecked and tyrannical government that ran their entire society and economy, often badly, with zero checks and balances, and ended up creating a dystopian hellholes for themselves in the process. I largely want to work within the institutions we have, implementing policies via reforms, with all of the normal checks and balances you would normally have in a free and democratic state. 

Ultimately though, I do believe that to some extent that state action is a tradeoff between freedom and security. In the calculus for any policy proposed, we should look at what it imposes on the citizens and what the benefits to those citizens are, and ask if the tradeoff is worth it. Ideally, we trade just a little freedom, for a lot of security. We ideally won't trade large amounts of freedom for a little security. 

In some ways, I feel like freedom and security can work together. By having a safer and more secure environment, people can sometimes be more free to life a fulfilling life than they would be if they lived in the state of nature in which people struggle to survive. Ultimately, in terms of Maslow's hierarchy of needs, the government should focus on guaranteeing stability for the first two rungs of the hierarchy (physiological needs and security) while leaving the higher, more psychological needs for people to fulfill themselves. In this sense, we can have both freedom and security.

Now, some people might ask, but wait, you want to secure physiological needs like food, water, and shelter? Isn't that exactly like communism? Uh, no. And I will actually outline my plans for how to get there in the economics section. Long time followers of this blog will already have a good idea what I am going to say here, although I won't really go into a ton of policy details on the plans, as I've already discussed these topics in great details in other posts, but I will provide more philosophical arguments in defense of my ideas. 

Ultimately, I would consider my political ideology to be "social libertarian". On the libertarian-authoritarian axis of the political compass, I would say I'm somewhat near the center, but definitely lean more authoritarian. On the left/right axis, where you put me depends entirely on how you define it. Internationally, I would consider myself near the center, similar to social democracy but with a more libertarian bend. I want a capitalist economy with heavy amounts of interventionism to protect people from the excesses of that. Within the spectrum of capitalist countries, I definitely lean left. Keep in mind, I'm both a progressive, and a libertarian. I am both, and I combine the two to great effect in my own ideology.

Now, before I move on, I do want to address one final topic, and that is foreign policy. Let's go over a few things. The nation state is the unit of governance in this world. Without it, there is chaos. Foreign relations is tricky, and to be perfectly honest, the only reason that the US and other western powers are so dominant is because they won the major wars and conflicts in the past, and maintain their geopolitical advantage via a large and expansive military. Ultimately, I do believe, on the international stage, might makes right, and if you support the western way of life and the freedom and prosperity that it provides, you need to protect it. That said, I do generally speaking support the US as the hegemonic power in the world, with all of its warts and flaws. Many competitive states like Russia and China do not share our values, and are often much more authoritarian in their outlook, and their citizens arguably live much lower quality of life both objectively and subjectively. That said, I will support whatever decisions generally help us maintain our advantage internationally. While I would prefer to use soft power to achieve our goals, such as leveraging money and relationships, I am not opposed to using hard power as necessary.

However, I do believe in generally speaking conserving our use of force. I do not support actively intervening in the rest of the world if it is not in our interest, I do not believe in nation building or "spreading democracy" to those who are unwilling to accept it, and I believe we should stay out of conflicts as necessary. However, we do need to protect ourselves and our allies, and should do everything necessary in order to do so. 

Economics

My economics, like everything else, are based on humanist principles. You could even say that they are "human centered". Yes, that is a reference to Yang and his "human centered capitalism." For Yang, his core principles were:

1) Humans are more important than money

2) the unit of a human capitalist economy is each person, not each dollar

3) Markets exist to serve our common goals and values.

I would GENERALLY agree with this. However, my own ideas of humanistic capitalism predate Yang's. While Yang beat me to the punch in being the first to express the idea, he is not the first to think of it. These ideas have been around on the internet since at least 2013 when I ended up discovering them, with them in academia for far longer. 

My own interation of this idea, as you can tell, calls back to the rest of the worldview that I had built up to this point, the idea that all human institutions essentially exist to serve human goals. If I were to create my own iteration of this idea, it would be this:

1) The economy exists for people, not people for the economy

2) Work is a means to an end, not an end in itself

This does not mean I disagree with Yang's ideas. If anything I appreciate him expanding it to some degree, and I would agree with his overall ends. However, my own iteration of this idea also has significantly different origins and conclusions.

While capitalism is, for better or worse, the most functional economic system out there (I'm not a fan of socialism or communism), I cannot disagree with Marx's analyses of the economy which tend to put it in a less favorable light.

Profit motives under capitalism are insatiable, and while this motive is what ultimately makes capitalism work, it kind of strips people of their humanity in the process. As I was taught in economics, the primary purpose of all corporations is profit. And the labor market is one governed by supply and demand. In these interactions, employers have a vested interest in ensuring that people do the most work for them for the least amount of money. And while workers have a vested interest in doing the last amount of work for the most money, the way the economy is set up favors employers. Workers don't often have the ability to say no to work, because they start out in a state of propertylessness and desperation, in which they are effectively coerced into the labor force in order to survive. This insecurity puts prospective workers in a servile state in which they will bend over backwards for employers in exchange for a meager existence. 

It gets even worse when looking at the macro perspective of the economy. The economy will never ever produce a job for everyone, let alone a job that pays good wages and is fulfilling to do. Unemployment is a fact of life under capitalism. If we did not have unemployment, we would have massive inflation as workers keep demanding more money, and employers give it to them, driving up their costs and making everything more expensive. The federal reserve effectively is the pacemaker of the economy and sets interest rates to balance unemployment with inflation, generally favoring higher unemployment with lower inflation in the process. "Full employment" generally means somewhere in the ball park of 4% unemployment, meaning for every 100 people looking for jobs, 4 cannot find one. Take note that this figure does not include people who stopped looking for work, or people who are underemployed and in jobs that are part time, do not pay enough, aren't a good fit, etc. Poverty has remained around 15% since the "war on poverty" and structurally it cannot be abated more by normal methods. Raising the minimum wage has not ended poverty, as that generally, if anything, makes jobs harder to find in economic terms (although the reality is more complex and I'd argue it leads to more inflation due to the inelasticity of the labor market). Regulations alleviate some of the worst of the employer-employee dynamic without solving the problem. Same with unions, which see in a rather disadvantaged position in the modern US. Socialism, or economic democracy sounds nice on paper, but socialism has a logistical problem of "how do we set this up?" State control of the economy actually has horrifying results in practice and leads to an inefficient, tyranical dystopia, not the utopia we are looking for. Sure, market socialism isn't as bad, but is economic democracy really the answer here? What if people don't want to participate at all?

I would argue we need a solution that gives people more liberty. After careful consideration and research on the solution, the core solution to the nature of the economy is a universal basic income. For me, the core problem with the economy is the fixation on jobs, and the fact that jobs are the end all be all of meeting one's needs. Let's think about why jobs exist. It's because we need products and services. We shouldn't glorify the idea of a job, or force people into the work force unnecessarily, especially when the jobs aren't there. Even if the jobs are there, we once again need to remember my premise: does the economy exist to serve people, or do we exist to serve the economy? With an economy with de facto compulsory work, it feels like the latter. Also, work exists as a means to an end, not an end in itself. The process of working is not something that should be glorified. it's an unpleasant fact of life, that I believe we should strive to minimize. We worry about jobs being automated in the future. I say, good, if we automate jobs, maybe we shouldnt have to work so much. if you think about it, our economy is insanely productive, with GDP now up to like $76k per capita this year. That's an insane amount. But, workers often don't make $76k, if anything, many make far less than that. And income inequality has been at a record high for a while. Why do we work? Who are we working for? Are we even really benefitting from this? I really do believe that people in our modern economy are akin to slaves. I know that's a controversial statement, people often think that it's insulting to compare the state of wage labor under capitalism to actual slavery, but there actually is a historical argument for it. Essentially, it's the equivalent of renting a person rather than buying them outright. Literal slavery, or owning another person, is illegal. But people sell themselves out for hours of their life just to survive, and it's kind of a brutish existence. Shouldn't we do better in a society that is as prosperous as ours?

A universal basic income would solve poverty in a more direct way than any other policy we can propose. it would give everyone an income of at least poverty level, and then give them more freedom to choose whether to work or not. People might ask, why would people work if they have a UBI? And I argue many would. because even if the UBI is high enough to meet their physiological needs, it might not meet their higher psychological needs, and most people want to do something with their life anyway. Some people might choose not to work, but as long as the numbers aren't great enough to crash the economy and cause problems with society functioning, why should I care? I don't glorify this idea of work as an obligation that people have to do. I value people being free to live as they want to the greatest possible extent. And perhaps if we can automate jobs in the future and work less, we could raise the UBI higher than it would be otherwise. I support a UBI at the highest possible amount. 

Some people might ask, but I work so hard, why should I have to work to pay for someone else's UBI? Well, because UBI is a right of citizenship, and everyone gets it. You're not working and paying someone else for your labor generally, unless you're very well off, you get a UBI too, and economic prosperity is so unequal UBI is generally a transfer from the top 20-25% to the bottom 70-80%. Under my UBI plan, anyone making under $80k individually would benefit in net, and that scales with the number of people in a household. So only those who can be said to be well off would get it. And if we were to follow a modified version of Rawls' veil of influence, as told by the likes of Karl Widerquist or Phillippe Van Parijs, generally speaking this provides a bottom for the worst off in society, while asking those with the most to pay for it. 

Some might argue that taxation is theft, but theft implies an unjust or illegal taking of property. Where do property rights come from? For many people who make this argument, they believe property is a natural right given to us by a deity, whereas I believe property is a social convention that can be modified at any time. Property as a system actually imposes a lot of problematic obligations on the poor, and the fact that the poor dont own any property in any way to be able to be self sufficient is what causes this problem in the first place. UBI is just redistributing income to allow everyone some level of self sufficiency, so that they can't be forced to work for another for their survival. I honestly believe that taxation is a much lesser evil than de facto forced servitude is. As it turns out, more economic security gives everyone more freedom in this sense and allows the model of the free market to work more like it would in an econ textbook, where people can choose their working conditions, their pay, etc. without being strong armed into the deal. And if the amount is sufficient, people wouldnt be forced to participate in the first place.

I could go on and on arguing for a justification for a UBI, and perhaps if I were to write a book I would, but if I did it here, I would just to on and on. I've written many articles on this subject on this blog, and my views should be rather apparent. 

To discuss other things related to the economy, despite my lofty ideals, i would still support much of the liberal regulatory state as it's better than nothing, and even if UBI is implemented, theory might not match reality. Remember what I said about public policy cycles. You define the problem, implement solutions, and then you evaluate the effects of the solutions and course correct from there. Just because in theory something should happen doesn't mean it will, and effects on the ground should continue to be monitored to ensure it's implemented optimally. 

I do believe some industries like healthcare and education serve severe market failures where it would be better for the government to run them. This is not communism in the sense that I'm not imposing this on the entire economy. Just key industries where markets dont seem to work. This also enhances freedom since no one has to worry about medical care or going in crippling debt to pay for healthcare or an education, and fixes a lot of the most immediate problems with the economy. 

Housing requires more complex solutions. I've outlined them before. I'd target a land value tax specifically at landlords and those who seek to profit off of land ownership to try to discourage excessive concentration of ownership of land. Land is a scarce resource and while I believe everyone should have a right to own a home, I also do believe that we should punish scalpers for trying to exploit others. 

All in all, the future is ours to make. If we keep trying the same solutions, just keep expecting the same problems to exist. All of our problems are systemic, and while the solutions may be complex at times, they do exist. We can make our lives better. I would encourage people to adapt a UBI and a system in which capitalism serves human needs, not the needs of the rich and their profits. While the profit motive is necessary to some extent for capitalism to function, none of my ideas would eliminate it and the system should still work. But the outcomes should be far better. 

History

Honestly, we're getting near the end of my worldview, and I don't really know what to write here as I wouldnt say my worldview has a common history, but if I had to summarize it, it's this. 

The world came into existence a long time ago for reasons that we are not sure of. Humans have evolved from simpler organisms on this planet we call earth and became the dominant species on this planet due to their massive intelligence and opposable thumbs. However, we haven't always been nice to one another. The state of nature was nasty, brutish, and short, and the first societies were so unjust and authoritarian but they were not any better. But, over time, things have improved. Our ethics, our systems of law, our politics, and economics have improved. History should be interpreted with the bend of progress in mind. We have gone from dictatorships to democracies, from systems with slavery to systems with capitalism. Not all experiments to another stage of societal evolution have been good. Communism for example sucked. So did nazism. But, progress is possible, and I believe we, in the United States, can do much better today. We aren't even the most socially advanced country on the planet. We might have the biggest military and economy, but our country does not serve human needs as well as some others do, such as those in Europe with multiparty democracies, and better safety nets. I believe my ideas would allow us to exceed them. We would combined the American fixation on freedom with a progressive economic system allowing us to experience the best of all worlds. We would be collectivist enough to ensure that no one goes without, while being individualist enough to ensure that people are still free to live as they want without encroaching on each others' freedom. We can do better, we should do better. Hopefully we will do better. 

Conclusion

This has been an attempt to outline my worldview as if I were doing it for the book idea. I admit, I'm not sure if the book as I plan it if I continue it is good. The worldview stuff and the economic stuff are nice, and my economics does come from my worldview, but I feel like I was forced to very much gloss over the economics for the sake of readability and expediency. Perhaps if I go for a book, I should lean more heavily into exploring the economic ideas, as I feel like my post on that was all over the place. I attempted to provide a basic summary, but I just had so many topics to discuss it seemed very rambly and I really dont think I set up the cause well enough. The fact is, I need an entire book just to be able to set up my arguments for UBI and the economy, and the rest of the world view stuff I just kinda glossed over in comparison. Still, it was a good idea, and this exercise is worth doing. It should help bridge the gap in how I think about the world and where to go from here.

Saturday, January 7, 2023

Discussing the fundamentalist Christian worldview and what went wrong with it

 Okay, so, I was going to use this as the premise for my book, but I'm not really super happy with what I wrote so far. The fact is, writing for a book is actually a lot more stressful than just writing on here, and I get major performance anxiety as my more perfectionist nature kicks in. However, I do think it would be good if I more succinctly discussed the issues I wanted to address in it here, since I can make these posts free and available to all. 

So, the Christian worldview, in the beginning, well, like in 2005, I read the book Understanding the Times. It was a textbook we read for a Bible class intended to indoctrinate us into an extreme fundamentalist version of the Christian faith. I already did several posts on this, including this one, but here, I want to discuss more succinctly the Biblical worldview and what went so wrong with it.

Essentially, Noebel discussed six worldviews, while he advocated for the Christian one. He also discussed ten topics related to each worldview: theology, philosophy, biology, ethics, psychology, sociology, law, politics, economics, and history. 

To briefly outline the Christian worldview here:

Theology- To quote the book directly, the "Christian theology is Christ-centered" (p. 49). Everything goes back to God and the Bible. God communicates with us in two ways, through natural revelation (facts about the world around us, mostly related to arguments from design), and special revelation in the form of the Bible. Christians believe the Bible is divinely inspired by God, and that all of it is useful in that sense. As my Bible teacher would say back at the time, if you can't believe in all of it, why can't you believe in any of it? Which we will get to later.

Philosophy- While Noebel tries to reconcile science with the Biblical worldview, claiming that science is the study of God's creation, in my experience, when the Bible conflicts with reality, these people will choose the bible over reality. So there is a lot of denialism of particular scientific claims which we will discuss as the worldview unfolds from here, but at least from their own perspective, there is no conflict we just can't know everything from science. Noebel also makes arguments from design, essentially arguing that it takes more faith to be an atheist than to be a Christian (cringe), and argues the mind body problem in order to make a case for dualism. 

Ethics- Christians believe that ethics are absolute, come from God, and are essentially codified. Once again, Noebel takes pot shots at atheists going on about how without an absolute moral standard from God, all ethics are subjective and that people might want to rape and murder each other. On the other hand, Christian ethics lead to loving one's neighbor. However, because no one ever consistently practices biblical ethics and all fall to sin, we must turn to Jesus in order to be absolved of sin, and to try not to sin any more. 

Biology- Fundamentalist Christians reject the idea of an old earth and evolution because it conflicts with the Bible. If the Adam and Eve story isn't real, it weakens the narrative that we need saving from Jesus. So just...deny all of that stuff because the Bible is more trustworthy I guess. However, while Christians reject "macro evolution" (changing of species), they accept "micro evolution" (bacteria mutating), seemingly not understanding that they're the same thing. And finally, Noebel once again argues from design, claiming that intelligent design makes more sense than evolution anyway. I also remember, when I took this class, they also claimed that most evidence for evolution was faulty and/or a hoax. In retrospect, it was cringe.

Psychology-  Rereading this one was fairly disturbing. They generally tend to reject the idea of mental illness outside of the most egregious examples of literal brain damage, and see most mental illness as a spiritual problem that needs to be solved by more Jesus. Human nature is evil and sinful after all, and people need to confess their sins and be forgiven through Christ in order to be healed of their afflictions. They also go full on mask off and say they don't want to alleviate suffering, but that salvation gives us meaning in our suffering. I mean, I'm sorry, but WHAT?! Anyway, we'll come back to this later but as you can tell this section practically gave me an aneurysm.

Sociology- Social problems don't real because it takes away from the concept of free will, which takes away from our responsibility for our sins. However, at the same time they double back and admit that society and individuals are both important and accountable to God. As for how Christians structure society, they do so around four institutions that they see as Biblically proscribed: family (ie, marriage), the church, the state, and labor/work. Noebel also bemoans how the institution of marriage is under attack by the secularists in this chapter. *sigh*

Law- They see God as the ultimate lawgiver. To expand on the previous sections, they do not like the idea of humans making laws, and see human laws as flawed and subject to change over time (the horror). After all, human beings are sinful. They believe in two forms of laws: natural law, which are laws we can discover from nature that come from God, and divine law, which is more a form of special revelation such as found in the Bible. They believe in the idea of rights, but that rights come from God. From there, Noebel tries to argue that our country was founded on Christian principles, using a lot of the normal revisionist talking points Christian nationalists love to throw around. Still, despite this, they try to argue that Christians shouldn't try to legislate morality and seems to argue for small government, much like conservatives do. If only they heeded their own advice...

Politics- Here is where things really morph into conservative politics. They seem to argue for small government, arguing that government should only exist to maintain order and protect people and not to overextend its mandate. They do not trust sinful humans to to make laws beyond what is necessary, and regularly warn people of the folly of falling into utopian thinking, believing it will always end in failure. Rather, Christians should support limited government, and are supportive of concepts like separation of powers and and checks and balances. Christians should be encouraged to participate in government to hold it accountable, and that people are to obey the law unless it conflicts with God's law. 

Economics- Because of their fear of government, distrust of humanity, and belief that utopianism will end in failure, fundamentalist Christians oppose socialism and the state control it gives over the economy, instead opting for free market capitalism and the belief that it gives people freedom. They believe in the right to property, and because property exists in the Bible, so it shall exist in our world. They also have a work fetish, believing strongly in work ethic and believing that those who do not work shall not eat, because without this principle, no one would work. They support trickle down economics believing that wealth given to the rich can create more opportunity for the poor, and they argue for equality of opportunity rather than redistribution of wealth. Noebel also seems to blame the poor for their own condition at times. 

History- The Biblical worldview begins with Christ, and ends with Christ. Noebel spends most of this chapter arguing that the Bible is a reliable historical document, that Jesus was a real person, and that he did indeed rise from the dead and was who he said he was. All of this shows a clear pattern of creation, fall from grace, redemption through Christ, thus reinforcing the Christian narrative.

This may be somewhat of an oversimplification that misses some nuance, but you get the idea. This is the executive summary of the Christian worldview in as succinct of a form as I can reasonably present it. It may disturb some of you that I was taught this in high school. Even worse, I embraced it passionately, much like Gabi embracing Marleyan propaganda in AoT, for anyone who gets that reference. 

And honestly? I think it's still relevant today. After all, the religious right was, and still is, a major faction in the republican party in the US, and this kind of extremist thinking is arguably why so many of the people on that side of the aisle are not even living in reality. Because they're not. They embraced a worldview full of skepticism toward mainstream narratives, have a major persecution complex regarding the other side being against them, and they are often a bunch of radicals with crazy beliefs who want to impose these beliefs on the rest of society. And if their beliefs are true, that's one thing, but the problem is, they're not. And that's ultimately what unraveled the worldview for me. The linchpin of their entire worldview is the the unwavering belief in God and acceptance of the entire Bible, and because of that, they will literally deny reality when convenient. These people are not necessarily stupid, they're often very intelligent, but they're also very brainwashed, if that makes any sense.

But, the brainwashing didn't work on me. Why? Well, to summarize my reasons for breaking from this worldview:

1) I took a couple classes on the Bible in my first year in college. It broke my illusion of Biblical literalism and cast doubt on the book as a reliable testimony from God. We learned that rather than a coherent book to be accepted from Genesis to revelation uncritically and that it never ever contradicts itself, it's more a collection of works compiled over a thousand years by many different authors, many of which have conflicting worldviews, and there is a lot of shift in theology and retconning that goes on if you take the Bible as a single book rather than as a collection of works. if anything, taking the book as a single coherent work that never contradicts itself does a disservice and ignores a lot of rich history. Even worse, I learned fundamentalists grossly take a lot of parts of it out of context. Seeing how the Bible actually fits together, most Christians don't understand its nuances very well and have very flawed theology.

Of course, actually learning this shattered Biblical literalism for me and made it a completely untenable position to hold. There were actually two creation stories (yeah, a lot of the Bible is just a bunch of sources mashed together), and if you actually draw what they were describing, you would get something absurd like this. I mean, it looks like a freaking snow globe. But this is what we're supposed to believe over the best scientists in the world and their views on things. I'm sorry, but after learning about the Bible, this seemed small.

Of course, you don't just turn off from being a Christian overnight. You try to reconcile your views with reality. If you're reading this and are Christian but not a literalist, congratulations, you're not brainwashed like I was, but I would still advise you to reconsider your worldview. Often times, we try to compartmentalize different parts of our worldviews and hold tons of inherent contradictions and cognitive dissonance, and while extremist Christianity may have ruined Christianity for me, they did kind of have a point. If you don't believe in all of it, why believe in any of it? I went for years trying to bargain with reality so to speak here, as my worldview became more and more secular. And then a certain situation in my life ended up pushing me over the edge. That's also the reason why I eventually came back to spirituality from a cosmic humanist perspective. I have to believe in something now, but yeah no, it's not Christianity, and my worldview is a lot more consistent.But to discuss more issue with the Christian worldview..

 2) Obviously without the need for biblical literalism I quickly reverted back to an old earth view of the world based on science. 

 3) Learning social science, philosophy, etc., made me question a lot of Christian ideas of social science. Yes, free will is a lot more limited than Christians admit. People aren't as responsible for their conditions as Christianity thinks. Mental illness is real. No, the solution isn't just more Jesus. And holy freaking crap, yes, we should alleviate suffering. 

4) As I understood it, Christian ethics were based on love, but watching how Christians treated LGBT+ people disturbed me and came off as the opposite of loving. Seriously, I had a lesbian friend in college who hated Christianity because Christians hated her first. Is there any surprise that people turn on it because Christians act like jerks? Even worse, I couldn't really argue against what they were doing biblically. Because it was in the Bible. And I felt forced to choose between my own conscience and the chapter and verse of the Bible, and I chose my conscience. But this puts me in a weird place with Christianity. Because if I'm picking and choosing, and by this point I am, then how can I accept any of it? Again, fundamentalist Christianity is rigid and has an all or nothing mentality to it, looking down on other christians for being "lukewarm", and this extremism put me in a position where I was ultimately forced to reject Christianity outright. 

5) To go on about ethics more, learning about actual ethics made Biblical morality to seem small and outdated. Shouldnt biblical ethics be superior to human ethics? But it seems like the Bible seems quite dated and authoritarian and based on "just trust me bro" over actual substance. I mean, the Bible doesnt actually like people to think about ethics for themselves. If anything that seems to be what the original sin was, daring to decide what is right and wrong for yourself rather than blind obedience. 

6) Speaking of blind obedience, taking a psychology course taught me how screwed up blind obedience was. Ya know, after WWII there were a lot of scientific experiments trying to figure out how people were capable of committing the atrocities in the holocaust. And it turned out that blind obedience and deference to authority is a big factor. And many people are susceptible to that kind of thinking. it can happen here. And in the age of Trump and Biblical Christians turning into crazed authoritarian nationalists, this all should scare us. But yeah, the Milgram experiment kind of sums this thinking up. Basically, people were commanded by researchers to subject others to electric shocks of increasing intensity, to the point of intense pain and potentially death, and many people would continue following the researcher's instructions until they reached the danger zone. of course, there were no real shocks, it was all an act to see how far people were willing to go, but it really does give me pause as to being willing to blindly obey people. And then when I thought about the Bible, I thought about stuff like God commanding genocide in Joshua and the idea of eternal hell, and I'm just like, I can't believe this stuff any more. 

7) Sociology presented a world in which there are many many different cultures, and maybe Christianity doesn't have the answers. It takes a lot of maturity to realize that you only believe what you believe because of cultural reasons. You were raised to. As one book I read in college once said, "If I were raised a turk, I would be a turk, but because I was raised a Christian, I am a Christian." I mean, do we really think we come to earth and we got it all right simply by being born in the right place? Clearly we need a more objective standard for reality than mere cultural indoctrination.

8) Studying actual law and political science really beat out a lot of the Christian brainwashing there. No, the founders didn't want us to be Christian, they were deists arguing natural rights theory a la locke, not any specific god. They wanted god to be a personal matter for people and wanted separation of church and state. The constitution was intended to preserve religious liberty and isolate the state from religious influences. We had enough religion mixed with politics in Europe, and it was bad. It corrupted religion and led to the persecution of many over mere beliefs. America is a country where we have freedom of thought and conscience instead. And I support that.

9) Learning political science broke the idea of being small government conservative in some ways. I studied policy and realized that many policies are good and government does things, useful things that make our lives better. This is not to say that we should not be distrustful of giving people too much power, but not all exercises of power are bad, and it is possible to make the world better through carefully applied policy.

10) The great recession severely strained my belief in free market capitalism, making me much more of an economic interventionist. As I said, government does things, useful things we are better off with than without. Small government conservatism ultimately leads to a world of extreme inequalities, in which the poor are mere wage slaves to the rich. Liberalism and the regulatory and welfare states actually help make the world better, even if their approach isn't always perfect (and as we know I've greatly developed these views after becoming an atheist in 2012). 

 All of these things, and more, shot so many holes into the Christian worldview that by the early 2010s, it was swiss cheese. I was dealing with so much cognitive dissonance that I had no choice but to deconvert. Quite frankly, I needed to do it for my own sanity. To maintain my belief in God at that point would have involved a denial of all that I knew was real, and would have represented a major delusional break from reality. I couldn't do it. I was sane, and I tried to make my views conform to reality the best I could.

So yeah, you can say that ultimately, the rigidity of the Christian worldview killed it. It starts from the assumption that God and the Bible are real and to be trusted over the rest of reality, and then it proceeds from there. It is a dangerous worldview that after leaving, I became an intense critic of Christianity and skeptic of religion in general. Because as the saying goes, those who can make you believe in absurdities can make you commit atrocities.

Some Christians might say, well, their views aren't like that. And I will say, okay, cool. But I will still maintain that their worldviews are likely full of inconsistencies and that they will be dealing with a lot of cognitive dissonance in their perspectives. I cannot maintain a belief in Christianity any more. I just can't. As I said, I became theistic much more recently again, but my faith is a very personal one, and is based more on what Noebel would call "cosmic humanist" principles rather than Christian ones. And those principles are much more compatible with my underlying secular humanist worldview. 

I'll be outlining my actual worldview in a separate article. I feel like I should basically write some articles making what essentially amounts to an abridged version of my book idea. But yeah, this is actually a summary of what I came up with so far. I accepted Christianity, and then I didn't, and then I had a fire lit within me to build up an entirely new perspective from there, that I largely built up and maintained on this blog.

Friday, January 6, 2023

Discussing "force the vote" in light of the republican clusterfudge over the speakership

 So if you haven't been paying attention, the republicans can't get their crap sorted and get a new speaker of the house. Kevin McCarthy is the frontrunner, but around 20 republicans keep defecting and holding up the whole process in gridlock, wanting a much more extreme candidate. And while most people on the left are just enjoying the opportunity to grab the pop corn and unite around Hakeem Jeffries, the concept of "force the vote" has again come to the surface. 

I've largely stayed out of the 2021 internal battles about force the vote. While I sympathized with the aim, I also recognize it's a risky strategy that could effectively dead end one's career as the democratic machine would use the opportunity to deny you any influence in congress and probably primary you next election, so I kind of defended AOC and the likes' decision NOT to force the vote.

But, this idea has once again come to the surface with this, with progressives saying SEE IF THEY CAN DO IT, WHY CAN'T WE?! I mean, it's a valid point, but I do want to discuss a common trend I've noticed between the left and the right. I've been in both parties over the course of my life, and I've seen these things from just about every angle I can think of, and the two parties handle their internal conflicts differently and have a much different culture. Republicans, they're very willing to get into internal power struggles and brawls with each other. They're willing to just start punching each other so to speak and fight for what they want. If a segment of voters isnt happy with a decision by the party, they'll fricking buck the party to get their way. And it works. As we know from reading "What's the Matter with Kansas", republicans had the same internal power struggles democrats often do between the moderates and more extreme people in their party, and the republican establishment basically lost because the voters weren't willing to tolerate their BS. 

And that's how it always was. You think 2016 was the first time I ever thought of voting third party? I was a Ron Paul guy in 2008, and I heavily considered voting for Bob Barr on the libertarian ticket, or even Hillary Clinton who was a rather moderate democrat (so moderate I'd vote for her as a conservative). But then Obama being as extreme as I perceived him, I ended up just buying the Fox News and Rush Limbaugh narratives and falling in line. But I did consider it. I didn't like McCain, and after the election, the republicans ended up purging their moderates, becoming more extreme, and then I got alienated and left them because I realized their ideas are actually horrifying and do not work. They were trying to kill unemployment compensation to decrease taxes on "job creators" (yes, just what I need, more "opportunities" to serve rich buttholes), they were passing extreme abortion legislation similar to what they tried to do this past year. And I just could no longer follow them. But, I will say, they know how to get what they want, and the reason they are so successful in politics relative to the democrats is they know how to push for things they want, and get them. The democrats don't. 

And this is why, as I shifted left, and started dealing with the "blue no matter who" primary culture within the democrats, I basically experienced a massive culture shock. The idea of just holding my nose and falling in line out of solidarity is just disgusting to me. My vote is my expression of who I want in government, and I won't just hand it over to would be tyrants who want to forcibly extract it from me. That's the kind of crap you read about third party countries doing with their fake "elections". But, most people fell in line. And third party voters like me were largely marginalized under the democratic propaganda machine's force. 

But here's the thing. While the right is successful because the voters aren't afraid to go scorched earth on their politicians, the democrats' approach...works...because the culture surrounding how to handle their differences...works. There is a very strong "blue no matter who" sentiment on the left, and there is a lot of internal policing and shaming, where if you DARE point out that you are not going to support the democrats, god help you, because you're gonna be ripped hard for it. And the few people who are willing to take a stand end up just getting marginalized and shamed. Trust me, I've been on the receiving end of this. There's a huge reason why I literally wrote that massive FAQ style post explaining my decision and telling anyone who isn't happy with it to screw off. Because blue no matter whoers can't help but try to shove their arguments down the throats of people who don't wanna hear them. And I just got so sick of debating that subject I just post that article and move on (for the uninitiated). 

Even then I have been forced to soften my position on the subject somewhat. This is largely because of how bad this asymmetry has gotten between the left and the right. On the right, these forces of allowing populists to run the party have caused them to get so extreme that they're literally becoming a threat to democracy. On the other hand, the democrats are so complacent that they are ineffective at fighting back in any meaningful way. After telling us for years, we cant do this, we cant do that, we need joe biden because he's "electable", once Biden got in, moderate holdouts like Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema made the situation worse by holding up just about anything Biden wanted to do. So the obnoxiousness of the centrist faction blocking stuff is getting so bad it's even alienating centrists. So Sinema is leaving the party, we picked up Fetterman, and things are a mess. And it's like, we're stuck. We are now in a situation where the right is becoming more and more extreme and dangerous to themselves and others, and the left's exhortation is that we better vote for them or they take over the country. And this puts us really in a tough spot. Even I have to cede my normal position somewhat due to how much someone like Donald Trump is a threat to democracy. As much as I would like to just spite the democrats and use scorched earth tactics to push them left, the fact that we are literally trending toward a fascist dictatorship is disturbing. And I really don't have an answer there. Because the solution to that problem is for the democrats to move left and shift the overton window away from them. But the democrats won't shift left causing them to have mediocre leaders who won't do anything. And the fact that we have mediocre leaders on the left who won't do anything sabotages the left and makes the right winning more of a threat. We can clearly see the results of this dynamic. The right marches toward fascism and becomes more unhinged and extreme each election cycle, and the left just fricking rolls over and enables it through a combination of sucking at governing themselves, and their voters losing enthusiasm and the democrats constantly going more and more "right" as a result, trying to compromise with the GOP. 

So that brings us back to force the vote, should progressive democrats in congress threaten to stonewall the rest of the party to get their way? Well, given it's working with the GOP I can see an argument for it, and I could see that maybe we should have done it all along. Maybe Sanders should've countered Sinema and Manchin's BS on obstructionism to undermine their goals. Maybe rather than have the entire political landscape boil down to who is the most moderate senator, maybe the left should offset that. Maybe the left should push for concessions out of the democrats. I mean, let's face it, Hakeem Jeffries isn't going to be much of an improvement over Pelosi, and he has a history of crapping on the left in the past. 

So I can see an argument for it. I'm still not going to shame progressives for NOT doing it, I feel progressives get too hostile and purity testy sometimes, but I am somewhat sympathetic to their arguments here.

At the same time, we do have to worry about becoming the right to some extent. Here's the problem with populism. It's a double edged sword. I mean, I get it, I'm a millennial, I've been crapped on by the economy, I have a very populist flair to my politics, but after watching how extreme some segments of the left have gotten in recent years, I really do think having a legitimate "tea party of the left" might have similar problems that the right's does. I mean, a lot of these people are very extreme and dogmatic. Their purity testing tends to go way too far, and they tend to hate anyone who isn't perfect. I would not pass the modern left's purity tests. Why? Because I'm not a LITERAL COMMUNIST. A lot of these people are becoming literal radical marxists who hate capitalism, whereas I would call myself a human centered capitalist and like Andrew Yang's original philosophy. But these guys hate UBI, they want jobs programs and guaranteed basic services instead, and their vision is just...not what I support. Even if we have some similar goals, like universal healthcare, free college, some sort of climate plan, a higher minimum wage, etc., I'm a "succdem" according to them (basically a derogatory term for "socdem" or social democrat used by communists). But even putting that side, I do tend to have some disagreements on policy with the rest of the left these days. I dont support a full on green new deal, but rather a smaller climate plan focused on fixing the problem without leaning hard into the "job guarantee" idea. I support a UBI, but these guys hate markets, showing any deviation from single payer is looked down upon despite the fact that I support it in principle but am more option to a public option alternative given the cost and my UBI aspirations. I mean, my UBI support and social libertarian ideology does change my ideal vision from progressives a bit, and they HATE people like me for it. They think yang is a sell out and a grifter (to be fair they might have a point nowadays), they hate me for having similar ideas. And let's not get into my non economic ideas. I'm a total craplib. I support Biden's foreign policy, I support our intervention in Ukraine, I support NATO, and im not so rabidly anti war I wanna cut our entire defense budget and open us up to attack from Russia and China. I'm even passively supportive of Israel in a "I dont care but geopolitics are geopolitics" sort of way. On social issues, while I'm progressive, I'm not woke, and wokies HATE me for that. It's not enough I agree with them like 80% of the time for different reasons, the fact that I don't agree with them 100% of the time for the exact same reasons makes me deserving of their scorn.

And what's the problem with this? Well, if you give a movement like this a couple decades to fester, we might come to a point some day where these leftists pose as much of a threat to American democracy as the fascists do now. I've seen these guys radicalize in only 7 years. Imagine what they would do if they got power and wanted to implement their ideas. Some of them would literally try to transition us away from capitalism and impose crazy leftist ideas that dont work. I mean, with me, at least I try to put some data to my ideas. I have progressive ideas, and I know that they can work. And I can argue for them using posts I've written on here. But I've also been very critical of the ideologues and extremists. Because they take things too far and their ideas are literally potentially damaging.

So it's a balance, yes, we want the democrats to be more progressive than they are now. The crap libs really are awful and can't hope to pass anything because their centrist circlejerk is so extreme that they end up becoming a self parody after a while. But then the extremists really are extreme, and I am getting kind of scared of some of these people.

So yes, we need more movement left, but how much is debatable. I would argue there is a point where we've gone too far and need to course correct. The centrists are one extreme, but the extreme progressives are the other. It's like there isn't much room in the modern discourse for just your bog standard social democrat or even a social libertarian like I am. The establishment is too far right, the populists are too far left, and I'm just stuck in the middle hating everyone. 

Still, given where we are, is force the vote a good idea? Eh, I'm open to it. If we can use it to shift the discourse left than we should. I guess the best I can do is just ally myself with the faction that makes the most sense at the time and then course correct later. I truly am an independent by this point. 

Oh, and if anyone wants to know what Forward's response is to this mess, they're a joke too, calling for more centrism and compromise. Amazing how they went from being the best third party I've ever seen to an absolute joke overnight. But that is what it is. When I say I'm an independent and hate everyone, I really mean it at this point.

Screw Donald Trump

 So, I can't help but notice that it's the two year anniversary of the orange crapstain's attempted insurrection. Screw Donald Trump, I hope he goes to prison. Yes this is just a meaningless virtue signalling post with no further commentary needed. That is all.

Wednesday, January 4, 2023

More discussion on the GPU market

 So, I went on a relatively long rambly rant talking about the market failures on the GPU market, placing the blame squarely on nvidia, while cutting AMD some slack. 

Unfortunately, Nvidia released a new product today, the 4070 Ti, and it's getting trounced in reviews so bad that everyone is ripping Nvidia a new one for offering a new product that costs the same as the old product while offering the same performance as the old product, while driving up the namesake even higher. I mean, this card is freaking $800. It's a 4070 Ti. For reference, the 1070 Ti in 2017 was around $450ish when it launched. The 3070 Ti was $600 and that was ridiculous, given I literally argue for pre 2018 pricing for GPUs. 

But it's getting worse than that. People are starting to notice this trend. It isn't the first time I've seen this happen. Intel kind of did the same thing in 2011-2017 with just rereleasing similar quad core processors every year for the same price while performance barely climbed. Eventually, AMD brought about a market correction when they released Ryzen, causing intel to suddenly increase their core counts later in 2017, and turning my brand new 7700k into an i5 8400 performance wise (I was kind of salty over that one, mainly due to the timing). But....while the core argument I was making in my previous article was to "buy AMD", AMD is not necessarily innocent here either as Linus Tech Tips basically pointed out that AMD is complicit with this. They are pricing their new 7000 series products around Nvidia's pricing, and thus solidifying higher prices. They also tried this with their 6000 series. That awesome $230 deal I got? yeah, they tried to originally price the thing at $400 and it wouldn't sell. And AMD is expected just to price their own products around Nvidia, and because Nvidia is pricing their products around how the previous series performed, we're just seeing better cards for more money.

When I said buy AMD, it was on the basis that AMD's current/last gen offerings (the 6000 series) are now a relatively good deal. but even then, I bought during black friday sales when pricing was insanely low. Pricing has rebounded, and now the cheapest 6600 is cheaper than my 6650 XT was. And the 6650 XT is back to $300+. Not gonna lie, a $240 6600 isn't BAD. It's around 75% better than my old 1060 from 2017 that was $270 at the time, but honestly...black friday pricing was better. I would say that the 6600 should probably ideally start around $200 and the 6650 XT around $250ish. Instead right now the 6600 is $240-300ish, and the 6650 XT is $300-350ish. Still cheaper than Nvidia, who seems to want $270-320ish for a 3050 (worse than a 6600) and $370+ for a 3060 (similar to a 6600 or 6650 XT). 

It's pathetic. I will still maintain that "60" tier cards should be under $300. Maybe the 3060 Ti around $300, but the base 3060 should be like $250 or less. This market is pathetic, and it really does seem to be that the best deals are had with buying last gen stuff cheap. Even if the 7600 XT is like 20% better than the 6650 XT I jsut bought, odds of it being under $300 are slim and its likely to be closer to $350-400 at first. 

Just...this market is pathetic. And people like Linus are wondering if people are going to be priced out of PC gaming. PC gaming became attractive in the later half of the 2000s and the 2010s because the price DID come down and initally, trying to keep up with a console was a fool's errand. Your fancy $1000-3000 PC would be unable to play games 2-4 years later. Things age a lot better now, with a viable "mid range" (as in, $1000ish) PC lasting a good 4-6 years or so, but it's come at the expense of slower progress. And it's not really slower progress. The cards are there. They might as well just not exist because they're so expensive. I'm going to be honest, anything above say, $300-400 might as well not exist, and the $300-400 price range is only remotely relevant for me because thats where the MSRP is for the typical type of GPU i would normally buy. People like Linus are wondering if traditional 60 buyers like me are going to be priced out of the GPU market long term. We very well might. We MIGHT be driven to console, which can provide a decent experience for $500 and lasts 5-7 years these days. But I'm not sure. With GPU demand at a near all time low, there is going to have to be a price correction eventually and something is going to have to give. Nvidia and AMD just seem fit to take the market for all its worth, and ultimately, a correction is going to be needed. They're just playing chicken with consumers. They'll launch high, and then much like AMD during the christmas sales, will eventually have to downsell to the prices that they should've been worth all along. After all, eventually they'll have to move all of those unsold cards, right? Now, the real risk is them cutting production, and some have argued online that they could use the silicon for things that are quite frankly more profitable, like CPUs or something. But, ultimately, as long as they want to make some profit, they likely will make some GPUs. And given AMD can cram a 6650 XT type GPU into a PS5 and Sony can sell it for $500, maybe the pricing really is the problem.

Also, we are getting performance gains for the price. It's just happening painfully slowly. You CAN buy a RX 6600, which provides an experience just below a PS5, for as low as $240 now, and during christmas sales, much lower, sometimes as low as $190-210. Thats why I was so bullish on AMD in my last article. Nvidia is the market leader, and if AMD is stuck with tons of cards it can't sell and lowers prices, I say buy a cheap GPU and sit on it for another 5 years. I mean, a lot of us more "old mid range" budget buyers just wanna PLAY games. We don't need the best settings. Many of us are fine with running stuff on low to get the frame rates we need. ANd given how 1080p/60 FPS is considered the minimum, with more emphasis on 1440p and 4k, gaming is still relatively affordable. I mean, 1080p used to be a luxury. Go back and look at 8800 GT benchmarks. 1080p was the super high resolution enthusiasts gamed at and people were pulling 30 FPS on 8800 GTs and the like back in the day. Many gamers were comfortable playing at lower resolutions like 900p, 720p, 1280x1024, 1024x768, or even something like 800x600 or 640x480. Most of those are unheard of now, with most games not even running under 720p. And upscaling tech, specifically from AMD since nvidia are scumbags who make all their tech proprietary and limited to new GPUs to sell cards, is extending the life of older hardware, giving people an experience that simulates a higher resolution than it really is. So....stagnation is still not a terrible deal for gamers. Most of the emphasis on expensive GPUs is for the sake of people running 1440p and 4k setups, which require 2-4x the amount of performance. Most people running 1080p/60 FPS don't need more than say, a 3070 or 6700 XT and anything above that is wasted frames anyway as you will eventually run into CPU bottlenecks. Even with my 6650 XT, I run into a lot of CPU bottlenecks with my i7 7700k, which is relatively low end, but still, a new CPU is only going to likely give you 2x the performance at most. You dont really need a high end GPU to run games. You can get by just fine on a $300 GPU even now. 

Still, prices are too high. AMD's older 6000 series which will be phased out over the course of the year are just barely worth it at their current prices, and Nvidia is just ridiculous. And next generation looks like...more performance for more money. What will the RTX 4060 cost? $500? 80 cards used to cost that much. And the 7600 XT....I'm guessing will cost around $300-400 and be...20% better than the 6650 XT (based on the 7900 XT vs 6950 XT). 

So...on the one hand, hardware is stagnating in price/performance, but on the other, GPUs have more longevity than ever before. And increases are happening in the sub $300 market, just slowly. Again, I could buy an upgrade, you can get the next SKU down for a decent price (and it's only like 15% worse than what I bought), and I would honestly say the RX6600 is the everyman's GPU right now. It's the spiritual successor to the 580 and the 1060, and the only worthy upgrade for the money. Maybe a 6650 XT is worth it under $300, and the 6700 XT can be worth it if you're in the $350-400 market, but yeah. 

Either way, honestly, I'm of the opinion if you wanna upgrade, you might as well do it now. Next gen looks like a total bust. So far it's all expensive cards that might as well not exist because who in their right mind would buy them (yuppies who I would tax to pay for my UBI plan, that's who), and honestly, I'm not sure if the market will improve any time soon. At this point we're looking at a total wash in price/performance or maybe like 20% better in the best case scenario. AMD's 7000 series just isn't that worth it over their cheap 6000 series cards, and the RTX 4000 series is just too expensive. 

I will say if you're a sub $200 buyer, RIP. At this point, if you're paying less than $200 for a GPU, you're literally getting a 4-6 year old GPU like a 1060, 1650, or a modern equivalent like the RX 6500 XT, which is just a crappier 580 crippled by 4 PCIE lanes (TLDR, plug it into an older computer and lose 1/3 of performance). And at $150 or less you're really getting crap (1050 ti or 6400 anyone?). That's the really sad thing. All of these cards are all vastly different performance wise, but they all are the same price. To be fair, the low end market is always like that, but normally that market is sub $150. Right now, anything from the 1050 ti/rx 6400 on up to the 1660 ti/super (2x performance difference in and of themselves) are within $50 of each other. And honestly, I would highly recommend putting out a little more for a 6600 and calling it a day there. 

So I guess if you are under that range, you might as well just buy a $500 prebuilt....or a console. It's sad really. You used to be able to buy a PC at a similar price point as a console that could beat or come close to tying the console in question. Now consoles are just a vastly better deal and you arent gonna even get a comparable experience unless you go for like a i5 12400/ryzen 5600x with a RX 6600 or something. You can game on less than that, but it's honestly the bare minimum experience. Still cant complain about my 6 year old hardware being capable of running games. I just wish that buying something like that wasn't what entry level gamers still have to do like 6 years later. Ya know? Not saying your build should be obsolete super fast (I hate that too), but after 6 years...you should be able to at least double the performance easily. 

Tuesday, January 3, 2023

So let's talk about the GPU market

 So, I know this is primarily a political blog, but I do discuss gaming topics if I can work in a political or economic angle, and I just wanted to discuss the state of the GPU market. 

So, for those who don't know what a GPU is, it's the part of your computer that lets you play games. It's called "graphics processing unit" and is also known as a "video card" or "graphics card." Most PCs dont have them by default, which is why when you go buy a PC from a store and take it home, you're stuck struggling to run fortnite and rocket league. You need dedicated graphics hardware to have a console like gaming experience on PC or better. You also need fast CPU and a lot of RAM, but most modern computers come with decent enough hardware anyway. 

PC gaming has had a pretty complex history in terms of affordability. it used to be, console was the only affordable way to go. If you played on PC, you'd spend $1000+ on hardware and couldn't run games 2-3 years later. The lifespan of parts has expanded over time, and PC gaming actually started taking off as a more affordable option in the PS3/Xbox 360 era, and even more so in the PS4/XB1 era. 

But in the past few years, the market for GPUs became broken, and prices are out of control.

 I got into mainstreaming PC gaming around 2008 or so, when I wanted to upgrade my computer to play crappy F2P games on the internet. I got more and more interested in playing on PC and a few years later built a dedicated gaming PC when I graduated college in 2010. 

The GPU market was always fairly accessible. When I got into it, there were options from as low as $50 to up to $700 at the ultra high end. My first GPU was a HD 3650 I paid $80 for. It was a very basic video card. I used it with an aging PC that could abrely handle games even with an upgrade, but it was worth it. It gave me a taste of PC gaming and never went back.

 While you could pay as little as say, $50 on the low end, and up to $700 on the high end, most people seemed to spend between $100-300 back in the day. GPUs like the 8800 GT and 9800 GT were the kings of the day. You could get them for around $250ish and you had a GPU that could actually run games for a solid 5-6 years. THose cards were considered "legendary". They were twice as powerful as what came before, and it took years for something to come out to make you want to upgrade.

Soon, these cards were supplanted by cheap AMD GPUs. There are two major brands of GPUs. Nvidia, who is the market leader and generally considered the superior company, and AMD, who often makes worse products, but tends to sell them at competitive prices. After their 8800/9000 GPU series, success went to Nvidia's head and they released the 200 series, which is where they started developing the naming scheme we're all familiar with. They had GPUs from the weak AF 210, all the way up to the 295, which was a dual GPU that cost insane amounts of money. Most people opted for a GTS 250 (about on par with the 9800 GTX+ which was the previous gen flagship) for around $150, or they spent a bit more on a GTX 260. But generally speaking, it was better just to buy AMD. You could get a HD 4830 which equalled a 8800/9800 GT for like $130, or you could buy a 4850 or 4870 for a bit more. While AMD didn't have "the best" GPUs, they generally were competitive enough that it forced Nvidia to lower their prices to something more reasonable.

From there, Nvidia's product stack normally looked as follows. They would have GPUs from the X10 on the low end (X being the series number) to the X90 on the high end. 90 normally being some dual card (two 80 cards stuck together). On the low end, you could spend anywhere from $30 on up, and the flagship would generally be like $700-1000. Or if you wanted the best SINGLE GPU, you could spend $500 or so.

However, I want to focus on what most people bought. The most popular bang for your buck cards were the 50s, 60s, and 70s. The 50s were mid range cards that could be had fairly affordably ($150ish or so) and didnt age particularly well, but were still worth it. 60 cards were the best bang for the buck generally. They often cost between $200-300 and provided the best experience for the money. 70 cards were also kind of sort of worth it, but vs the 60 cards you're generally talking 30% more performance for 50% more money (their price tag was often around $380-400). And yeah. Only rich people bought 80/90 cards. And anything below the 50 cards were often crap that wasnt worth buying. 

As far as AMD, I wont go into their pricing schemes, since they kept changing it. Originally when I got into gaming, they had a similar scheme to nvidia, having flagships with 8s in them, like the 3870, 4870, or 5870, with lower "8" cards like the 4850, 5850, etc. These generally performed like an nvidia 60 or 70 series card. AMD had their own 7 cards too, which were more like a 50 series card from nvidia. And then they'd have their 4/5/6 lower end cards like the 5450 (similar to GT210), 6670 (similar to GT 440), etc.

And yeah, the market dynamic was generally that Nvidia cards were a bit more expensive but generally better experience, AMD cards were cheaper, but often had issues with stability due to bad drivers and stuff. Nvidia cards generally lasted longer because nvidia supported them longer, while AMD cut driver support sometimes as little as 3-4 years after purchase (nvidia cards would last up to 6-8).

But generally both brands had their pros and cons. AMD was a bit less refined, but worth it for the money, and nvidia was a bit more expensive for a more refined experience. My first GPUs were actually AMD. I bought a HD 3650 for like $80 as my first card, and then a HD 5850 for around $300 a few years later. And yeah, I did have issues. I remember the drivers on the 3650 in particular were atrocious, and even the 5850 would crash on some games for no apparent reason. My friend was often very much an nvidia fan, and he bought 80 cards every 2 years or so. One year he gave me his old 580 because he wanted a 680. I used it for a year, it broke, but because it was nvidia, and more specifically, EVGA (the best nvidia sub brand GPU), i could claim the warranty and get a replacement. I got bumped up to a GTX 760, and used it until 2017 when it broke. By then it was about time to upgrade anyway. 

And it was largely the golden age of PC gaming. You could go out, buy a $200-300 GPU, and be set for the next 4 years or so. Maybe even longer if you got a legendary series like the 8800 GT. Generally speaking, new products would come out every year, both companies competed, with Nvidia generally being the market leader and AMD being the more value oriented brand, and most people preferring nvidia because it's more refined. Not that AMD is bad, you can have a decent expeirence on AMD, but between twitchiness with drivers, and lack of long term support, nvidia was generally better. Still, both had a place in the market, and the market worked BECAUSE there was a dynamic that if nvidia went full stupid, AMD would always correct them. 

In 2016, the last series of GPUs came out that can be considered to be affordable. Nvidia came out with the 1000 series, and AMD the 400/500 series. Nvidia had their normal lineup of GPUs from around $100ish by this point with the 1050 (they largely stopped selling lower because it wasnt worth it and they were junk) and the 1080 Ti which was $700 (they eventually stopped $700 dual cards and came out with single cards about a year later for that price). AMD didnt have a solid product to compete with Nvidia's high end, so they flooded the market with cheap GPUs in the form of the RX 400/500 series. The 470/570 and 480/580 being solid products, with the 470/570 beating most of Nvidia's low end and the 480/580 competing directly with the 1060. 

I actually didnt expect to upgrade my GPU that year, but because my replacement 760 bought the farm and I was out of warranty by that point, I had to upgrade. And looking at the market at the time, it seemed like buying cheaply wasnt worth it. The 1050 was on par with my 760 and cost like $140 by this point, and there wasnt a solid upgrade until I hit 1060 territory. On the AMD side, the prices were inflated because in 2017 apparently crypto mining (gamers' "crypto-nite" as it makes prices insanely high) was a thing, and the AMD cards were massively overpriced for their value. I weighed my options, but between wanting a more stable experience and not wanting AMD to cut drivers on me like they did with my old 5850 (seriously, the 460 was still supported in 2017 and AMD dropped 5000 series support in 2015), I decided to just go with Nvidia.

I was kind of disappointed because Nvidia's roadmaps from 2014 showed a major jump in 2016 (which happened) and yet another in 2018. But then nvidia changed their road map and never came out with that massive 2018 bump. The 2016 "pascal" cards remained relevant until late 2018-2019 when nvidia finally DID come out with a new series...and because of AMD's various failures and mishaps over the years, nvidia did something that they felt justified in doing, they raised prices. 

We didnt get the GTX 2000 series, but the RTX 2000 series. The R standing for ray tracing. I never heard of ray tracing before this point, but wanna know how movies get lighting so good? Ray tracing. It's very demanding and takes traditional computers days to render single frames, but nvidia managed to invent a technology that could do it decently in real time. However, even with their tech it was demanding so they also invented DLSS, an upscaling technology to accompany ray tracing. Basically, they wanted to make ray tracing the future of gaming. But, this feature wouldn't come cheap, and because AMD was still struggling against nvidia's 1000 series, Nvidia just saw fit to raise prices.

This is roughly the pricing scheme of the 1000 series:

1050- $100-130

1050 Ti- $140-190

1060 3 GB- $190-220

1060 6 GB- $260-300

1070- $380-420

1070 Ti- $420-450

1080- $550-600

1080 Ti- $700

And then Nvidia did this with the 2000 series:

RTX 2060- $350

RTX 2070- $500

RTX 2080- $700 

RTX 2080 Ti- $1000

Notice a pattern? Basically the 60 turned into a 70 card, the 70 turned into a 80 card, and the 80 turned into a 80 ti card price wise. And the 2080 ti cost what a "titan" card used to cost (titans being insanely overprice cards only rich people bought). 

What you'll notice is...what about people who were interested in 60 cards and below? Well, they did come out with a complementary 16 series GPU aimed for the low end without ray tracing with the 1650 and 1660 series replacing the 1050 and 1060 series. But for 60 buyers....basically you got 1070 performance for the price of a 1060. Which wasn't bad, it was a 35% uplift, but given the 1060 was dominant for over 2 years by this point, a 35% jump was underwhelming. That used to be your normal yearly uplift on an OFF year. Like 460-560 or 660-760 was that kind of jump. And those were the small "refresh" jumps. By 2019, we should've been seeing double the performance. It took 3 years for the 460 (2010)to be as powerful as 2 8800 GTs (2007). It took 3 years for the 760 (2013) to be as powerful as 2 460s. It took 3 years for the 1060 (2016) to be as powerful as 2 760s. And in 3 years, we got a measly 35% jump to the 1660 ti replacing my 6 GB 1060.

At the time, I just kind of realized that with the 1000 series, I just stumbled onto another "legendary" series like the 8800 GT. The 1000 series was a massive jump over the 900 series, and it took years to finally be replaced. ANd the replacement was...not much better than what I had. It was one small generational leap. 

I dont actually mind having hardware that lasts a while. it saves me money. And buying at the "right time" is always what I dream to do. I love having that legendary hardware that lasts for so long its still relevant 5-6 years later. Man, I didn't know what I was in for with this market. 

Of course, we can see what was really going on. We got the same gains we always did. Nvidia just exploited the situation and raised prices. The 2060 should've really been the $250 card if the market functioned. But nvidia let their RTX talking points go to their head and charged 70 prices for the thing. And I was kind of outraged for it. Because by this point, the 2060 was roughly where the market should've been at for the money. Around a 60-70% improvement over the 1060. At least. Again, double in 3 years for the same money is the norm roughly. But instead, we got 35%.

What was AMD doing? Failing. Again and again. The RX 480/580 were solid cards for the money, but they could only make a $200-300 GPU for a flagship while Nvidia dominated the whole high end market. And then there was vega, which ended up not being that good. And the RX 5000 series ended up being okay for the money, but outside of the flagship 5700 XT wasnt much better than nvidia for the money (5600 XT would've been in my price range...much like the 1660 ti it was a "1070 level" GPU). And they didn't have ray tracing. And their drivers sucked. And their coolers sucked. ANd it was nothing but problems.

So...before we go further, I wanna point out, this was 2019. BEFORE the pandemic. What happened during the pandemic? Well, that's where the crap hit the fan. We ended up with a double whammy of supply chain shortages (common discussion on this blog) combined with a crypto currency surge. And a general surge for hardware in general as people were stuck staying home all day. So massive increase in demand combined with massive decrease in supply and what do you get? Prices exploding. 

This happened just in time for the 3000 series to come out. They followed the same pricing scheme as the 2000 series, with the 3060 which i would covet at the high price of $329. Finally something 2x as good as my now aging 1060, which was still good, but not amazing these days. And for a lot more money. And then you're lucky to even get it at that price. Demand was insane, and the price soared to an eye watering $700-800. Heck, the 1050 ti at one point was $400, and that was worse than my $270 1060. As I said, that was around $180ish when I bought, and that was high, its MSRP was actually like $140. My 1060 was as high as $600 at times. Of course I wasnt gonna sell it because I wanted to game on it. But yeah, it was like, I better hope this thing doesn't die on me or I'm screwed. 

AMD released the RX 6000 series, which was a major improvement over the 5000 series, but because demand was so hot for GPUs, they also inflated prices, and people still bought them up. Crypto miners would buy anything. Scum of the earth (I hate crypto currency, it's such a dumb idea, and it completely broke the GPU market). Anyway, by this point both Nvidia and AMD were selling flagship cards for around $1000 and of course they went for far more. And the coveted 3060 was $300-400. And the RX 6600 (AMD's equivalent) was about the same. And as someone who originally planned to upgrade my 1060 in 2020, I was in this weird hellish limbo. It wasnt that bad. Games still ran on my 1060, but it was getting old, my previous card died, I feared this one would die too, and given next gen consoles I'm just waiting for games to want more power, and not being able to afford a more powerful card. I COULD shell out for $350-400 for a 3060 or 6600, but why would i want to? That crap should cost $250ish by now. Of course during COVID, shoulds didnt mean much because the GPU market was completely broken.

Anyway, in 2022, the GPU market FINALLY broke. Crypto currency shifted from a "proof of work" concept (solve puzzles on your GPU to get imaginary internet money) to "proof of stake" (ownership matters more) and demand crashed for GPUs, and prices finally went back to earth. But they were still high. I watched as nvidia cards remained well above MSRP, with AMD cards starting to once again develop a competitive edge. The RX 6600 dropped into the $300s, with the 6650 XT also being in the $300s, and then toward the end of the year, in the $200s. Even during pandemic level pricing I could tell the 6600s were fairly cheap for some reason, they performed just below the 3060 from nvidia, but because AMD's ray tracing abilities are inferior (although they exist by this point) it's like a lot of people just didn't wanna buy them. Which is dumb. I know nvidia is the better company, but I'm not against buying AMD if they are cheaper. heck, most of my AMD purchases over the years was explicitly because they were cheaper. But given how AMD cards clearly had a competitive advantage in price, I'd reward that.

Still, most people don't. For some reason nvidia cards keep topping the charts. And now they have like 88% of the market share, which is insane. I know AMD has always been behind, but nvidia quite frankly doesnt deserve such a ridiculous monopoly.

Anyway, now we're getting the next NEXT gen with the 4000 series, and nvidia decided to do it again. They're charging $1600 for their 4090, and $1200 for their 4080, and had to cancel the "4080 12 GB" which was a much inferior card fvor $900. Keep in mind, with the 1000 series cards, the top end card was $700. For a while the top end single cards were $500 with the $700 flagship being a dual card. But now, Nvidia isnt even competing in the sub $300 space. They have the "3050", which is just a 1660 ti with ray tracing more or less (maybe slightly stronger, but not by much) for like $300, although the MSRP is less and no Nvidia card goes for MSRP. It's ridiculous. Like, Nvidia just abandoned the sub $300 space mostly, expanding us to pay top dollar pricing on GPUs that are only 50% better than what we bought in 2016 for the same money. Ridiculous.

And AMD hasnt been any better. Their RX 6500 was basically just a 1060/580 level card for $200. And it sucked worse in some ways due to being limited to 4 PCIE lanes (16 is normal). And what's wrong with this picture? Just...massive stagnation. The same level of performance for the same money. Greater levels of performance for more money. 

Still, I will admit, I did finally get my upgrade this Christmas. My trigger point was 2x performance for under $300. And the AMD cards crashed in price, hard, after the crypto bubble popped. Turns out, most gamers would rather be gauged by nvidia. Any time I ask why on forums, i just get weird flexes about "features" and "ray tracing" and "DLSS", never mind that AMD has similar features, their ray tracing abilities are worse than nvidia's overall but still competitive on price, and AMD has their own alternatives to DLSS. Even though nvidia is better, it's not "let's spend significantly more" level better for me. No one should ever buy a 3050 or 3060 for the price they go for. They're way inflated. 

But yeah, AMD card crashed hard, and the holiday deals were insane. RX 6600s were had as low as $190. 6650 XTs (replacement of the 6600 XT released this year), were had as low as $230-250. Which is...quite frankly, what these cards should've cost all along. $220 for a 6600 and $270 for a 6600/6650 XT seemed like fair price points all along. Maybe $250 for the 3060. Bring back pre 2018 pricing. 

I know a lot of people on forums get huffy and act like "inflation" is just a cover for higher prices, but technology tends to get cheaper over time. And the price tiers should've remained roughly the same, and it should be noted just because you can compare 2016-2022 pricing now due to 2021 and 2022's inflation, this crap started BEFORE covid. Really, I will insist that $250ish for 60/600 series cards is what they should've cost all along. That's what the market used to produce before it went to crap. And honestly, it's crap because NVIDIA IS GAUGING. THEY HAVE AN 88% MARKET SHARE, A DE FACTO MONOPOLY, AND THEY KNOW PEOPLE WILL PAY INSANE PRICES FOR HARDWARE, SO THEY'RE MILKING PEOPLE. IF YOU WANT IT TO STOP, YOU HAVE TO SAY NO AND FORCE THE PRICES TO DROP LIKE THEY DID FOR AMD.

And as I said, I went for the AMD card. 6650 XT for $230? SWEET. Finally a worthy upgrade for my 1060 for the price it should've been all along. And given the priced rebounded since christmas and now the 6600 is up to $240+ and the 6650 XT at $300+ and the next generation looking to produce mediocre gains for the money YET AGAIN, I feel like I just beat the market. The 7600 XT is likely to be 30-50% better...for 30-50% more money. The 4060...forget about it. If that thing is under $400, you're lucky.

Anyway, you might be wondering why I'm writing this, and it's to tell people, the only way you're gonna get them to stop charging this much for GPUs, is to stop buying them. Sure, there's some people who will ALWAYS go out there and spend insane amounts for GPUs, and these people tend to be upper class yuppies who have no value of money and act like they're the core market when they're not.

If you look at steam hardware survey, most people are running 1060s and 1650s still, with the 2060 and 3060 only becoming relevant recently. The 2060 is around $250-300, which is what it should've been at launch, and the 3060 is $350+ still. Not worth the money. But people want upgrades so they're buying.

But I'm not seeing people buy AMD...why? If AMD is gonna put their GPUs on sale, that's the only way you're gonna get an upgrade and beat the market. I know AMD has a lot of bad reputations for drivers, less features, but Im gonna be honest, they've improved A LOT since the old days. Looking online they support their GPUs for longer, generally 6-9 years, more akin to what nvidia does more or less. They drivers tend to age better than Nvidia's in recent years, and while sure people have problems, I had issues on nvidia too. The same issues i had on my HD 5850? Sure, I had games that crashed on nvidia before. I suspect my old 1060 was fine, it wasn't dying as it did it for over a year, but yeah I had regular crashes on games like Halo infinite and Battlefield 2042. ESPECIALLY 2042, although as we know that game is a broken mess anyway. And I even can do RAY TRACING on my AMD card. Seriously its performance is just below the 3050's in that respect. By the way, outside of nvidia's tech demos, the tech isnt worth it, the difference is barely noticeable, and it's not worth the frames in the sub $400 market anyway.

Honestly, this market isnt gonna improve unless people can say no. You can say no by sticking to aging hardware as long as possible. And I respect that. I was gonna ride or die on my 1060 until it was unable to run games, either from dying or just being obsolete if necessary. I wasnt gonna buy until my demands were met. And eventually, they were. Just not by Nvidia. And I would buy AMD if they provided a competent product at the right price range, which they did. 

Heck INTEL makes GPUs now, although I'd avoid those due to their drivers being immature and twitchy. Still, intel GPUs seem to have a possible future too. 

But yeah, you cant be loyal to a single brand that has near monopoly status and keep buying their stuff when theyre clearly price gauging. If we band together and say no, and only buy when the right product for the right price appears, then these companies wouldnt get away with this crap, and pricing would be normal again.

That said, right now, if you want a GPU, you probably should buy AMD. Seriously, i know nvidia is better they ARE better, but AMD is still good, and they're getting to the point of being way cheaper than nvidia. Seriously, I got a card that cost $400 at MSRP for $230, that's INSANE. And it undercuts not just nvidia's $300 product, but also their $350-400 one too. Sadly that deal is expired and buying them at $300-330 is a hard sell, but yeah, at under $300 it's a great deal. And the 6600 is still a solid option for around $240-250ish or less. 

Point is, don't give nvidia a dime until they lower prices. It's not "inflation", its "price gauging" learn the difference. It's basic econ 101 at work. There's little competition, most people buy nvidia, they have a near monopoly, and you can either reward competition, or you can continue to be screwed by the "big green rod" as some people like to say online. Just my two cents on the issue. Or my $200 since that's about what I like to ideally pay for a GPU.