So...I believe we are invading Iran for 3 main reasons. It's not nukes, it's not them not negotiating with us. That's all just the pretext, and a shoddy one at that. Here's the real reasons:
1) To distract from the Epstein files
This really is a matter of trying to take heat off of the Epstein files. It's a long known political tactic among the powerful that when the walls are closing in and you fear some sort of revolt (like MAGA turning on Trump in this case), that you distract with a war. it takes the heat off, and causes the press to focus on that rather than the inconvenient issue(s) you no longer want them to talk about. This is Trump's way to take the heat off of the Epstein stuff.
2) Israel
At best, Israel has a long term geopolitical ambition of security in the region. They are surrounded by potentially hostile powers and see Iran as the biggest threat to their national security. By knocking out Iran, we theoretically make Israel safer long term, or so the logic goes.
The problem with this mentality is, to paraphrase an old political science professor of mine, that preemptively attacking you because you fear being attacked in the future is like just going up to someone and punching them in the face because you fear them punching you in the future. And that kind of makes YOU the bully and YOU the bad guy.
And let's face it, at worst, this is all imperialism. Israel wants to expand into a form of "Greater Israel" across the middle east, and obviously, Iran is a threat to those ambitions. The entire Muslim world is, quite frankly. Do you think they're just gonna lay down and accept Zionist rule? hell no.
And then you gotta consider how much Israel is influencing our government. To go back to point 1, The Epstein thing was arguably a Mossad operation to get blackmail on leaders to get them to do whatever they want. And most of our government representatives take AIPAC money and Israel has an outsized influence on our politics that should be concerning. Remember that scene from 300 when it was found that a lot of people in the Greek legislature took money from Persia and were basically pushing government policy toward supporting them? That's how I feel about Israel right now. And that's why Im out of good will with them. They're unduly influencing our government, undermining our own national interests, and pushing us toward a war that has nothing to do with us. And Trump's going along with it, because not only is he a psycho, but because he himself is compromised, probably because they still got TONS of blackmail on him over the Epstein stuff and possibly other things.
3) Oil
Yeah it all comes down to natural resource. Trump is burning our bridges with the world market. We could've probably had a good oil deal with Canada, but because Trump's a bully, Carney walked away from the deal and is looking toward China and Europe now. And that could have long term geopolitical consequences. So....Trump wants to make up for that with Venezuela. I know Kyle Kulinski had a segment like a week ago or so that discussed how oil guys were like "if Trump wanted oil he shouldve invaded Iran, not Venezuela" because it'll take years to build up Venezuela's oil infrastructure and Iran already has it so I could see Trump being like "okay, so I'll invade Iran instead." Again, virtually all wars post WWII and a lot of wars pre WWII are over natural resources, and oil being the paramount one. So yeah, that's why.
I mean, there are more reasons too, but those are the three big ones. Other reasons:
4) Long standing grudges
Iran has been a public enemy of the US since 1979 when they had their islamic revolution to overthrow the Shah. now, to be fair, they hate us because the Shah was a dictator that the CIA put in place back in the 1950s because...once again, we wanted the oil. But yeah the people rose up, overthrew him, and the regime that took over was basically....what Iran has been since. A theocracy that hates the US because of our imperialistic tendencies.
Anyway, we were on a positive path to normalizing relations with Obama thawing things a bit with the nuclear deal, which allowed Iran have access to nuclear materials for power purposes, under careful watch of the IAEA. It worked. And then Trump tore up the deal because...well....he's both a psycho and an idiot.
Anyway, we could've invaded at any time, but we're doing it now for the above 3 reasons.
5) Trump wants a legacy
Trump sees his legacy as expanding the US borders. He has outright imperialistic ambitions, pre 1945 style. He wants to take over places. Venezuela, Iran, and he wants to rule them directly. He also has interests closer to home with places like Greenland, Canada, etc. He's likely to attack Cuba next from what I heard. But yeah, he thinks it's still the 19th century when this made you a great leader when in the post WWII environment, it's not. It makes you look like a rabid dog that's just biting people. And that makes the world less safe. The modern world is based on respecting the existing order and NOT doing things like this. The UN and NATO, both institutions trump despises, exist primarily to discourage this kind of behavior. We want stability. We dont want war. But Trump is a madman so he's causing one. He really is America's Hitler. And I'm not just saying it to be hyperbolic. This is similar logic to lebensraum. This guy is gonna start World War III, if he hasn't already, with us being the new Axis powers.
Speaking of which, wanna know what some people are calling this? The axis of Epstein. Makes sense given the reasoning behind #1 and #2.
6) Evangelical end times screwery
I do not believe Trump to be a religious man. Not for one second. However, he knows how to utilize that stuff and leverage that stuff to make us base happy and get what he wants. And a lot of conservatives and evangelicals literally support Israel because they believe they're essential to some end times prophecy regarding the return of Jesus. And we need this war to happen to bring that prophecy to fulfillment. Basically, a bunch of nutcases who want the world to end have heavy influence in our government. Can we like...take away the keys to the car at this point? Go home, America, you're drunk.
Conclusion
We are living in very trying times. This is a very dangerous point of history. Some will wonder if we would still be here if Trump wasn't in office. I doubt it. Democrats supported the liberal world order and the institutions that guaranteed international stability. They acted reactively to problems, not preemptively. And recognizing most Americans simply dont have the stomach for war, including a lot of MAGAs, they've largely led from behind, mostly influencing the world through sharing of tech, weapons, and intel, and limited targeted action, but never boots on the ground. This is looking like it might be another Iraq War: an unproductive quagmire that Americans want nothing to do with and is a huge waste of lives and money. Way to go Trump.
And...hate to say it, I know I also rip the dems for being as pro Israel as they are these days too, but how are my "i refuse to vote democrat because of gaza" voters doing right now? I mean, I get it, Biden's foreign policy wasn't perfect, and the longer the 2020s unfold, the more I realize the anti war faction was right all along in a way, but let's face it, giving the keys to Trump was not really the answer here. To be fair, because Trump IS letting the crap hit the fan it's causing public opinion to rapidly shift against Israel and American interventionism, keep in mind approval for Trump's current actions are somewhere in the 20s on this issue, but yeah. Was this worth it? Was it worth it. This isn't worth it. And this is why even I voted for Harris in 2024. I know a lot of those types arent gonna wanna hear it. I know i hated hearing it too when I voted green in 2016 and 2020, but you guys kinda F-ed up on this one. Say what you want about Biden and Harris, but they were orders of magnitude better than this, flaws and all. At least they weren't bringing us to the brink of World War 3 and the apocalypse.
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