So, it's happened. A new poll out of texas has shifted the average there in favor of democrats, meaning for the first time this election cycle, the democrats are officially favored to win the senate. Now, do I trust this data? Not really. I mean, it was one outlier poll that tipped it, and I'd like to see a trend. And I also ain't sure what to make of the data out of Alaska and Iowa. So we can't count our chickens before they hatch, but I did want to mark this moment as a milestone of the 2026 election cycle. This map should be darned near impossible for democrats to crack, but it seems like they're...cracking it. Just seeing them ahead in polling averages is a sight to behold. Blaska? Bloiwa? Blexas? All seems to be happening. That's what happens when gas is $4 a gallon nationally because you broke your campaign promise against foreign interventionism and started a war that you can't finish. Americans care about the economy. They care about their pocketbooks above all else, and when they ain't happy, nobody's happy. Trump just incurred the wrath of the same forces that threw Joe Biden out of office and it's a sight to behold!
Still not sure which Michigan is red, but it looks like Haley Stevens' campaign isn't dead with all the McMorrow/El Sayed mud slinging so even that could change if i shift the candidate or just average all three. Still favors republicans, but to be fair, the data IS old. But yeah. Dems seem to be winning big elsewhere so it's more than evening out.

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