So, I just saw this Kyle Kulinski clip talking about the Iran war, and how this is representing a major geopolitical shift in the world that is showing the weakness of the US to the rest of the world, as well as possibly the ascent of Iran as a minor world power.
And...idk, I've been thinking about something along these lines recently too. I don't know, at this stage of the game, how we can reasonably back out of this Iran war. Iran is throwing demands around. We can't realistically meet a lot of the demands without great costs to ourselves and the world economy. And uh, if they dont wanna back down and sign for peace without the demands, then that means we're gonna have to fight them. And while I have no doubt we CAN beat them in an outright slug match, it's not a fight I'd want to take on. It's a lot like NCR beating Mr. House. Sure, if the NCR was fully dedicated to going to war with Mr. House in New Vegas, it could win, but House's strategy was to make doing so costly enough where the NCR wouldn't want to, and then he uses that fact to get concessions out of the NCR. What I'm saying is that we're NCR and Iran is Mr. House here.
We could invade and occupy Iran, but it's a country 4x as large as Iraq or Afghanistan, with a decentralized government at this point. We can't open the Strait of Hormuz without overwhelming military force that would lead to lots of casualties for us. Iran wants to charge ships to go through so that they can get like half a trillion every year in tax revenue for basically owning a toll road, which goes against the principles of the current global economy. Trump knows this, which is why he's melting down. He just wanted to go in, break some things, declare victory, and get out, but now we're stuck in a quagmire. And yeah. It's like we're screwed.
if we fight the war, we might start drafting people to get the manpower. That's gonna be very costly in terms of lives and dollars, but it might also ensure that Trump loses by supermajority numbers. If he does peace, it's gonna involve making concessions to Iran, which will empower them and weaken us. And yeah, he opened Pandora's box with this war. This was a monumentally stupid decision. And our military itself is governed by absolute morons. Trump wanted "Hitler's Generals", and he got them. He got brown nosers like Pete Kegsbreath running everything and they have NO FRICKING CLUE what they're doing. None at all. His attempts to install mindlessly loyal people has caused massive brain drain, and we're losing expertise like crazy. Of course, anyone sane would've told him not to go to war in the first place, but this is Trump we're talking about. He's the twitter reel president. He wants to see cool videos of things blowing up to post on truth social at 2 AM. And that's how we got here...
I really don't know what the answer is. All I hope is Iran chills a bit by the time we get the next administration in, and they can offer some compromises to make them happy, while helping us maintain power. I wouldn't be opposed to, for example, normalizing relations with them, apologizing for past misconduct, and maybe some reasonable level of reparations. But some of these demands are just...no gos. Like, they're asking too much, and their demands aren't fully reasonable. We're never gonna close down all military bases in the middle east, we're not gonna go along with their toll idea, while we can normalize relationships now, I suspect a future republican administration would tear it up again since the moron problem goes well beyond trump on that side of the aisle. And...uh...yeah. Trump just completely and utterly screwed us. This isn't good.
No comments:
Post a Comment