Sunday, January 16, 2022

Is the left really interested in real progress, or do they just want to tear people down?

 So, shower thought, but I've been ripping on a lot of the left lately, and I have to wonder, is the left really interested in progress, or do they just wanna tear people down? A lot of them don't seem to support helpful solutions to problems, and seem more interested in owning the rich and white people, than in actually making progress.

Like SJWs often seem to focus more on racial issues or gender, or sexuality based issues, than on solving issues for everyone and building stronger systems. While there are issues there, they don't seem interested in actually fixing problems for everyone. If you mention problems being a white male working class person, they'll just tell you to stfu and check your privilege while pushing for affirmative action. They miss the point that while more social mobility among POC, or women, might help them out, due to limited opportunities in the system as a whole, it might make white men poorer in theory. But it's like this doesn't matter to them because privilege. So they think if you push for affirmative action or quotas it will improve some peoples' lives, but those opportunities come at the cost of others. The left also fails to see how this actually also plays into white grievance politics and is a huge reason the right has so much power in this country. Because the dems fail to look after their interests, they end up supporting the right instead, because at least they'll maintain their opportunities and taxes over it. No one might get any improvements at all, but people will support the crappy status quo to preserve their privilege, because they have nothing to gain and everything to lose otherwise. I think the left needs more universal programs that strengthen the social systems and as such the social fabric in general, but the left would rather fight racialized culture and economic wars over minor scraps while the system goes to hell in a handbasket. This is why states like west virginia, that used to have socialist roots, are now so right wing. It's a state of white coal miners and the dems don't care about white people and wanna abolish coal jobs. Admittedly I'd want to abolish coal too, but at least I wanna give everyone a UBI. if the future is gonna be crappy service economy anyway, might as well get a UBI to fix the economy. 

And then you have the economic left. I had a discussion someone recently about taxing the rich. ANd one thing a lot of lefties hate is the idea of rich people getting away with not paying taxes, or paying less than others. Like, they will support 90% tax rates, despite the laffer curve being at 70%, because they'd rather the rich be forced to pay, than to actually acquire as much revenue as possible and actually be able to, you know, fund things with it. It's a huge reason these guys turn on UBI and other socdem stuff once the logistics of who pays for it is hammered out. UBI is bad because the flat taxes or the VAT required to pay for it is "regressive", meaning that the poor pay more in marginal taxes than the rich. But, if you can't tax the rich at those rates and get revenue, well, what are you gonna do? I'd rather, you know, fund programs that help people, and see UBI as a big equalizer. But that equalizing potential becomes less attractive if blah blah blah regressive. never mind the poor are still net recipients, they just care more about that stupid marginal tax rate than about results. 

But yeah, it's the same thing with capital gains. If you tax capital gains at 90%, no one realizes capital gains, capital gains revenue goes down. You're best off closer to 30-40%. But if you tell the left this, they'll think you're doing apologetics for the rich. They dont think it's fair. Their concept of fairness trumps their concept of actually getting things done. 

Same with student debt. The common argument is that it's "regressive". Meaning it helps wealthy professionals. Yeah but it also helps broke *** millennials screwed by the economy. Like, you know, me. But they just go back to seeing me as "privileged" and go back to wanting to help people in the ghetto. Despite me also being a ghetto. While being white and college educated. Ya know? It's ridiculous.

Everything with them is sticking it to the rich, and white people, while pushing for means tested programs that only help constituencies who they want to help. if you support universal programs for, you know, everyone, and actual functional tax systems to fund them, like, you know, I do, then they hate you and crap on your ideas all day.

I hate to call it like this, but that's how it is. And this is ironically why large swaths of people end up being conservative as a result. After dealing with the cesspit that is the left, it's no wonder a lot of white working class people decide to instead vote for lower taxes and dismantling safety nets. They aren't benefitting from these ideas. They're expected to pay for them. And they're bitter and want people to get jobs and support themselves.

I dont endorse these sentiments. I throw my lot in with my own brand of left wing ideals. One where I focus a lot less on things like race and identity, and a lot more on actually getting stuff done, like UBI and healthcare. I want actual progress. I want to remake the system in my own image here. And I believe most would be well off for it. Including a lot of those core constituencies dems claim to care about. Really? African Americans won't benefit from UBI? What do you think about stockton CA experimenting with it then? Is it bad? No of course not, it freaking works. West virginia coal miners would ALSO benefit from UBI. You see, I wanna help everyone, regardless of skin color, or gender, or desire for other genders. I don't wanna play games about omg this tax isnt as progressive as i want, we didnt tax the rich enough, this isn't means tested enough, blah blah blah. I wanna help everyone. Why is that so rare to see these days in politics? It's ridiculous. it's why I get so burned out. 

I feel like if the forward party took off, and I use that as an example as I see the yang gang having similar ideals, then I could see us bringing in not just democrats, but also some populist republicans. I think it could trigger a realignment of sorts. Of course, getting people on board with a third party and out of this tribalistic crap everyone is locked into is the hard part, but if people would just be reasonable, I think we could do a lot to change minds and cause positive change.

Is Sanders' movement toxic?

 So...this is a touchy subject for me, as I've been a long time supporter of Sanders as documented in this blog since its inception, with me cutting ties with the movement far more recently as I go in my own direction. So I have a mixed and naunced perspective that most would not hold. I would say ultimately it is at this point, but I do think a topic I've come across online is worth talking about. 

To quote a guy in a thread I read asking about this and responding:

I like Bernie Sanders a lot in terms of his ideas and his proposals. I like the fact that he pushes for medicare for all. That he highlights wealth inequality and the negative impacts of poverty. I liked the fact that he was one of the few politicians on a national stage to acknowledge some of the disastrous impacts of certain American policies in the past such as the coups in Iran and Guatemala(which hardly any politician does). 

 I mean, absolutely, I love sanders on some level. I decided in 2014ish that America was screwed and that to solve our problems, we needed a "new New deal". My envisioning of it was based on UBI, M4A, and free college/student debt forgiveness. And Sanders was the dude in 2016 who channeled that energy best. He was never a perfect fit for my views, but he was the best we had at the time, and felt he did a good job advocating for change in the right direction.

However I have always had a different attitude to his movement. I like him but I never liked elements(and I say elements) of his movement. Specifically what were called the "Bernie bros". The reason being goes deeper than simply "oh they attacked the Democratic establishment". That actually doesn't bother me that much. The DNC establishment should be critiqued. What I disliked what that they seemed to normalise and amplify certain elements that were toxic in nature that were able to cover themselves under the label "left". 

  I mean, as someone who was a "bernie bro" for a while, i'm gonna say this. The dems crapped on us, and then told us to fall in line. We criticized the dem establishment because we felt like we had to. They weren't listening to us. They were slandering us and giving us the finger but then demanded our support. So as a result, a lot of us got pissed and became rather toxic about things. I admit it's getting out of hand NOW, but at the time, back in 2016, that behavior seemed more justified.

What I mean is that coming out of the "Bernie of Bust" type movement was a combination of tankies, political nihilists, reactionaries and bait and switch political contrarians who called themselves "leftists". And as far as I am concern they were unhelpful to any type of progressive cause and often times just perpetuated the circular firing squad.

 Bernie or bust was originally a reaction to the democrats screwing us and then demanding our support in 2016. They basically screwed us, told us we're not getting anything we wanted, and then demanded our support. Bernie or Bust was just us saying "No!". That's all there is to it. The dems tried to bully us and we told them to screw off. 

During the 2016 convention when you had the Mothers of the Movement(the mothers of the unarmed black youth who were killed that spark the Black Lives Matter Movement) endorse Clinton after the primaries were done, you had many of these types actually booing their speeches when they were talking about their experiences, which I found quite despicable. 

 Now, this is where things start getting dicey. This behavior DOES happen on the bernie left a lot. I see yang still get a lot of crap for endorsing biden. Never mind he's publicly explained his behavior again and again, both in "Forward" and more recently on his podcast, but the Bernie or Busters do get excessively toxic for people who throw their support behind establishment candidates after the major fights are concluded. Like that's my issue with them. They're too tribalistic, and too rigidly far left, that anyone who doesn't meet their insanely unreasonable purity tests isn't one of them. I mean for me to be saying this, considering I was a bernie or buster, well, there's some validity to it. 

The fact that a lot of them have actually turned on progressive Congress people like Alexandria Ocasio Cortez and launch pretty vicious personal attacks on her from the left, which makes no sense to me.

 Yeah, stuff like this is why I no longer consider myself a bernie or buster. The fact is they do start attacking allies over minor transgressions and failing to go as extreme as they want. I can understand disappointment with AOC, but I also kind of understand the reasoning behind her actions. She's only one person and doesn't hold enough power to change the system by herself. So sometimes she has to bend and play the game. I understand the distaste with this, but I also understand why she does it. I also think it's ridiculous how these same people will scream about Yang despite him recognizing these corrupting influences and deciding to form his own third party to resist them. But apparently that's not good enough because he mildly supports Israel, and is a "capitalist" who likes UBI and not "socialism."

Which is where I get pissed at these guys. Seriously, screw the far left. The Bernie movement betwen 2016 and 2020 radicalized with all of this "socialism" nonsense where now I swear a lot of the hardcore bernie or busters are now tankies who wax nostalgically for the USSR despite never living through it. It's baffling to me. Like when Bernie said he was for socialism, it seemed clear it was a mild form of democratic socialism that's barely distinguishable from social democracy in practice outside of rhetoric. but now hardcore Bernie supporters are LITERAL COMMUNISTS. And they crap on anyone who isn't.

This is why I no longer associate with these people. Yang's human centered capitalism is a far better description of my ideology than what the Sanders movement has morphed into in the past few years.

The fact that a lot of them have gone on to push some really reactionary positions during the pandemic. For instance, Jimmy Dore, Max Blumenthal, the Greyzone and others who came out of the Bernie or Bust movement have been openly pushing anti vax conspiracy theories

 Yeah, this is another issue. Wayofthebern, the Jimmy Dore show, they were islands of sanity for me in 2017, and while they were a bit conspiratorial in 2016 over the dems screwing us, they werent entirely wrong, despite sometimes going too far with it with stuff like Seth Rich being murdered by the DNC. As they transitioned to the Trump era, they started accepting a lot of Trumpian BS about stuff like pizzagate and being against vaccines, and blah blah blah. Like, they just completely went off the deep end. And eventually, I realized I couldn't tolerate this stuff any more, and I couldn't follow them. Imagine being so anti democratic party you start sounding like a republican just to own the libs. All while simultaneously being leftists. it's ridiculous. 

Moreover I have just found that in discussions with these people they have political double standards and are not consistent. They believe that reserve the right to attack the mainstream democratic party(which deserves a lot of critique) but think themselves above criticism. They talk about Bill Clinton and Joe Biden's role in the Crime Bill and ignore Bernie Sander's role in voting for it. They say things like "I could never vote for Clinton or Biden because they voted for wars" and then proceed to vote for Bernie Sanders despite his own record of voting for interventions in places like Afghanistan or Somalia. Its one thing to critique the Democratic Party from the left, which I have no problem with. Before the Bernie movement a proper left perspective was not well represented in American politics. But the reactionary and tankie elements that crept into it I think are kind of a cancer that needs to be called out.

 Of course, and this is one issue I think Yang is getting it right, despite me not necessarily seeing it at first with his forward party stuff. it's tribalism. These guys are tribalistic. They are so into gatekeeping their side, that they alienate anyone who has the slightest deviation from their perspective, while sometimes having weird double standards with people they like. Bernie isnt even a saint among these people any more, but they still give him leeway on a lot of stuff. If a more moderate dem came out in favor of bernie's 2016 positions they would HATE them now. Heck, I knwo this because I'm in the Yang Gang. And Yang is pretty freaking far left economically. He actually argued in forward he saw himself as further left than sanders because he wanted to give people UBI and not even Bernie would go there, but now Yang is constantly lambasted and can't do anything right because he's not a full blooded "socialist". Never mind BERNIE isn't either really. Dude's just a socdem with socialist rhetoric. 

It's ridiculous. This is a huge reason I cut ties with Bernie's movement. While I dont like the more moderate dems either because at this point everyone is either a Biden apologist or a full blown tankie, the fact is Sanders movement has bifurcated into those two camps. Some, including bernie himself are being absorbed into Bidenworld, which is why they face so much criticism from the left. Some of it deserved, but they just demand insane levels of purity that are impossible to meet. The other camp moving toward the far left.

And me, I don't like EITHER of these guys. I cant' stand Biden. I WAS Bernie or Bust for a reason, but that reason was so that I could accomplish specific goals Biden clearly fails on. But the actual Bernie or bust people are so far gone they're literally these weird socialist reactionaries these days. It's bizarre. These guys can't be reasoned with. I tried. I'm literally to the point where I'm like, okay, screw Biden, I hate Biden, I hate the dems, but I also hate these guys too. I'm not some socialist reactionary. Sorry, I'm not. I just want to accomplish the goals I set out for at the dawn of the 2016 election cycle, UBI, M4A, free college/student debt forgiveness. And at this point I would probably keep climate change and electoral reform as high priorities too.

That's why I keep saying that my views haven't changed much. I mean, I've been reading old stuff I wrote in 2016, and I really haven't. But the world has changed around me, and it's not in a good place right now. The left is too left. The dem establishment remains centrist and evil. I'm not happy with anyone. Except maybe the yang gang, and even then if you asked me to nitpick I'd find nitpickings there. I've already laid my grievances with yang and his movement out here before. I'm not afraid to criticize my heroes. That's the thing. I'm not a tribalistic guy who will just mindlessly follow some movement. I will follow those who suit me best. And given my politics it seems harder and harder to find people who I agree with these days. As I said last year, it's like everyone on the left is either a dem syocphant, or they're a full blown socialist, with no nuance in between.

Why "nofap" is garbage

So, between arguments I've been in with a friend lately, and Vaush apparently debating some nutty nofap professor, I felt like maybe I should throw in my thoughts on nofap. 

Look, here's the thing. God (largely) doesn't care what you do with your peepee. You have free will. You can do what you want. Just don't harm someone or rape someone or bypass reasonable social restrictions involving things like consent. Fapping is something that harms no one inherently, and you can do it as much as you want. Maybe if you have a medical condition that restricts that, well, you should probably do it less, but otherwise, whatever floats your boat. And if you don't believe in God, well, all the more reason to fap all you want.

I don't accept religious arguments against fapping. Most arguments against the concept are based on the argument from nature, and commit an is ought fallacy. Basically they think sexual activity should be restricted to deeply committed partners within the bounds of a legal contract, and that it's primarily for child rearing. Anything outside of this is "obscene" or "profane" and "abusing nature" or some crap.

That's nonsense. Just because monogamous relationships can be awesome, and because sex CAN be used for child rearing, doesn't mean that you HAVE to link sexual activity to that stuff. You can have thoughts and act on them in the confines of your own mind that are completely between you and ...yourself, and that's fine. 

Some people might say porn is bad. I mean, I don't think it inherently is, if created by consenting adults. People might point to the exploitation of sex workers and while we should try to minimize that that doesn't mean I think it should be illegal. And I consider sex work to essentially be a form of "real work". Spend 50 years breaking your back in a warehouse to the point you retire with severe spinal stenosis and that's okay. Show some private parts online and everyone loses their minds and worries about you being "exploited". There is the wage slavery argument, but let's face it, if you're gonna go there you should be against wage slavery in all jobs and be for basic income. As long as the people in the productions are consenting adults, I have no problems with it. If they're not consenting or not adults, clearly there are problems with it, and those are separate ethical issues that cause harm to other human beings and are therefore bad and unethical. But consenting adults is fine.

And yeah. This should be a no brainer given my overall socially libertarian ideology, but given I've been seeing this topic brought up a lot I felt like writing an article on it. There's no valid reason to be against this stuff assuming no one is harmed by it. I don't buy those BS conservative arguments arguing from the purpose and design of sex, or any of that. Do what you want, as long as you don't hurt anyone.

Why do I accept the Lockean Proviso?

Well, one thing, looking back at yesterday's article that I overlooked, is that at the end of the day, I am a bit of a "statist". I support the idea of a state. Karl Widerquist tends to be a bit more skeptical of the idea of the state, and seems to believe that the modern state may fail the so called lockean proviso, or the idea that the state existing, despite the lack of freedom that can come with it, tends to be a net benefit to people subjected under it. Yet...the state is a coercive force, and has a history of sometimes treating people poorly. Including our own. I mean, we kind of exterminated most native americans and enslaved most black people, for example. And we subject people to wage slavery.

But let's face it, despite the state's flaws, I generally support the concept of a state. This does not mean I don't have issues with the state as it exists, but let's face it. Whatever evils exist under the state, could very well exist in a state of anarchy. For much of my political history, I tended to accept the arguments put forth by Hobbes' Leviathan, that without the state, that life is "nasty, brutish, and short."

I will say, listening to Widerquist at times and evolving my political understanding has made me wonder if this is always true, and if the state is always a good thing. It isnt, if it's hostile to your existence or enslaves you, well, you could make an argument against it.

But looking at modern western democracies? I would argue that the lockean proviso does apply to them, regardless of flaws. The primary purpose of the state is to provide security. Which it does. Beyond that, it should provide an environment for people to thrive in. Which it also does. Now, are western states perfect? No. I mean, my own country, the US, well, if it were a utopia, I wouldn't be writing this blog. But, regardless of the flaws, its existence is better than, you know, ANARCHY. And I do believe that the state can be reformed.

Despite this, I like Widerquist's arguments that because the state exists and imposes rules and social systems on people, and that its influence can't just be avoided realistically, that the state should compensate people for its existence. I think UBI both serves as reparations for otherwise flawed social structures, but at the same time, provides people with economic security and freedom that allows people to thrive. And that's why I call myself an indepentarian. I might not agree completely with Widerquist on the idea of the state, but I do like his arguments for indepentarianism and basic income nevertheless, enough where I call myself an indepentarian. 

I just wanted to clear that up.

Discussing ethical stuff with UBI and work refusal

 So, Karl Widerquist has this awesome new series on youtube where he has this college class discussing the ethics of UBI, which he is publishing on youtube. I plan on watching all of what he posts at some point, but he posted 2 classes today and I decided to jump on his session discussing Van Parijs and Real Freedom. And, after watching it, I decided to discuss some aspects of what was discussed from my own perspective. 

Some ground epistemology

So, I kind of feel like this is necessary to lay some groundwork for how I think. This is outofplatoscave2012....meaning I support people leaving platos' cave and questioning their assumptions about life. A lot of philosophers like to ask a lot of fancy questions like "well how do you justify people not working and living off of the labor of others?" and stuff like that. Like I need to answer such a loaded question. Uh, no. Like, this is unpopular with some, but I'm not HUGE on philosophy in general in the sense that I feel like these questions deserve a response. Why? Because they assume the moral justness of a system in which it's inherently wrong in which people do live off of the labor of others.

Look, I basically, at the end of the day advocate for a position of moral nihilism. When I left christianity, and thus left the cave, I came to adopt the position that all things are permissible, but not all things are useful. When I was a christian, it was beaten into me that without god, that morality is like...relative and stuff. And while they framed it from a bad perspective like oh noes people would just run around killing everyone, I dont take that approach. I see it as freedom. And I would say that we form ethics, sociologically, in order to establish rules for how to live with one another. For me, ethics and governance are sociological functions of human beings decide to come together and establish rules for living for one another. There is no one correct answer to these questions. And in this sense, questions regarding how we distribute labor and resources are equally subjective.

Now, that's not to say that all ethical systems are equal, while I believe in not objective moral code, I do believe that there is objective harm to people done in this world. If someone hits another, someone is probably being hurt by that. And while to some extent ethics is contextual, attacking others is okay in self defense or some sort of war situation, ultimately, harm done is harm done. And another thing I tend to emphasize is maximizing freedom. A big part of human flourishing involves people being free to do what they want to do. While reducing freedom isnt necessarily directly harmful, it reduces peoples' capacities to pursue life worth living. So it should be respected to the greatest extent possible.

That is an overall outline of how, at the end of the day, I view ethics. I ultimately trend toward utilitarianism and libertarianism as a result, and while there can be tensions between the two, and we can debate the extent to which one should take precedence over another, my views ultimately pursue to balance both. 

That said...discussing the ethics of work refusal

Look, I ultimately view work as a necessary evil. There's a lot of discussion around the value of work. And for me, work, is a means to an end. While it CAN give people purpose, it's only truly purposeful if a person chooses it freely. But for most, if not all of human society, work has had a coercive element to it. You have to work, or you're denied resources needed to survive, which is effectively a form of passive violence. Sometimes work takes the form of active violence in the form of slavery. 

In modern society, we are driven by this protestant work ethic, where work essentially becomes like a calling. People are called to work, they are here to labor, and if people do not spend most of their time laboring, they will succumb to vices and drink and gamble and have sex and maybe, just maybe, not think religion is a good idea. Cant have that. Let's call this for what it is. Calvinists, and those who base their views off of calvinist ideals, are authoritarians. Work isnt just a necessity of life, work IS life. And without work, humans would do things, that they would rather they not do. So basically, working works like work does in a cult. What do you do when you want to keep people not questioning things? Well, you dont let them sit and think long enough to have bad thoughts. So you keep them working and working and working. It's a form of control. 

I reject that. While work can provide purpose for people, I only see it as having a valid purpose if freely chosen. Otherwise it's just a form of soft or hard slavery depending on the coercion involved. So work is a negative. So for me, the real thing that must be justified is coercive labor in the first place. Is coercive labor justified?

Well, for much of human history, YES, actually. As I said, ethics are situational. The idea that those who dont work, do not eat comes from the fact that if you dont make people contribute to society, they will end up taking more than they give. And if that happens, then society falls apart. So, making people work is ultimately a matter of societal sustainability. if society isn't sustainable, then anti work ethics don't mean crap. If they lead to a society that doesn't work, then the whole idea is a nonstarter. 

And for most of human society, human productivity was low enough where if people didnt work, starvation and material deprival is a real thing. And doesnt it make sense, in a situation with that level of scarcity, that those who suffer from it are first and foremost those who didnt contribute to that society succeeding in the first place? So...if you need everyone to work to survive, it makes perfect sense that those who don't work, don't eat.

However in a society that can have its cake and eat it too, like ours, arguably, then I would argue that forcing people to continue to work due to outdated social norms is immoral and unnecessarily coercive. We're robbing people of their ability to live as they want, because we think people need to suffer to earn bread that has become...easily producable as a society. So, the need for coercion to work goes down as society gets richer and more productive in my mind, as long as work incentive remains high enough to sustain whatever distribution makes work less coercive in the first place.

Discussing the fairness of distributing resources to the unproductive

A big problem raised in the video is the idea that why should the productive pay for the nonproductive? And for me, the answer is subjective. Distribution of labor in society is subjective. Distribution of rewards is subjective. I don't care first and foremost about fairness. I care about society functioning and the incentives. 

For me, if work is voluntary, and you accept a job, you accept whatever rewards come with the job, and you accept whatever taxes you pay on those rewards. You know the game, you can choose whether a job is worth it based on whether you see it as improving your situation. If you dont consent to those rules, then you don't have to consent to that job. And if the work refusal is too great that society's sustainability is questioned, well, we can tweak things to ensure a better system of incentives.

That said, it isn't, in my mind, the utmost question to justify the idea that we distribute resources from the productive to unproductive. I dont necessarily accept the premise that those who work are entitled to all that they earn in the first place, as that's a subjective moral idea that has stuck around and become commonplace because it's been a functional idea that keeps society working properly throughout the ages. Again, it's ultimately a matter of incentives. All we need to do is get people on board with this idea, where we change the ethics away from this idea of forced reciprocity, toward an idea based more on "indepentarian" or "real libertarian" ideals. And why would people do this?

Well, because it gives everyone, on paper, the same freedom. The idea of a basic income is that we give everyone a bare minimum regardless of contribution, and in a left libertarian paradigm, this both solves poverty and frees people from coercion. While traditional left wing economics provide for people to a greater degree than right wing economics, they typically tend to suffer from the perception of being more authoritarian in other ways, since they often require things of the populace to make them work. But a left libertarian society would seek to maximize freedom by some set of principles (in this case "real libertarianism" a la van parijs or "indepentarianism" a la widerquist). This allows us to have our cake and eat it too. People are free to contribute as much or as little as they like within the boundaries of society being sustainable, and as long as the sausage is made, that maximization of freedom and minimization of poverty are all that matter to me. As widerquist points out in the video, under his system, there would still be plenty of room to work, because people will continue to be driven toward acquiring more luxuries. I mean, and given my whole f2p society article last month, i really suspect people will continue to work to some extent to acquire completely arbitrary cosmetic rewards that give them a sense of social status, even if all physical needs were taken care of. All that matters is the incentives. As long as work incentive still exists to a point society is functional, then all answers to the question of distribution of work and resources are permitted, and I believe my system would maximize both freedom and material well being.

Heck, most people who work dont even earn enough to pay into my UBI plan. The median income in the US for individuals was like $36000 a year in 2019....whereas under my UBI plan you would need to earn almost twice that much, around $66-70k or so depending on the exact tax rate, to pay more than you would take in UBI. And it only scales better in households. So most people have a very good reason to take my UBI idea, even if they work full time. Most who work, would actually continue to get more money from UBI than they would pay in. And if they quit, their economic security is ensured. 

And we also need to consider work disincentives with UBI. UBI is really only gonna be something like $12-15k a year or so depending on the plan in most cases. Most people wouldn't quit their jobs over this amount anyway and while some sources might have a slight work reduction, it would not be outside of what can be said to be sustainable. I mean, what we face now due to the pandemic is probably far worse than life under UBI would typically be like. 

So...that said, is this really that big of a deal? Only if you subscribe to a very outdated ethical system. 

And given the other major question the video raised was work incentives, well, I answered that. The amount will be balanced based on what's sustainable. If work disincentives are too great, you would need to reduce the UBI. If work incentives are too coercive and there is no sustainability issue, we can discuss raising the UBI. That's generally how it works.

Conclusion

Honestly, I didn't really think that answering this would be as easy as it was, but that's my view. I mean, I think the big thing that really is important in my perspective is how I don't just assume the justness of existing ethical systems and insist we must justify UBI or freeing people from work within a perspective that is based around just assuming work is good and you're bad if you don't want to do it. Rather, we should deconstruct society, understand, from a functionalist perspective, why things as they are, and within that framework, then question their assumptions about things and advocate for change.

My own moral system based on moral nihilism, and then rebuilding ethics around both well being and freedom, tend to lead to a moral system where work is seen less as this good thing everyone should totally do, and more as a lesser evil. Work is...well...work. We dont do it because we like it. We do it because we have to, and the less of it the better. And once we start accepting that premise rather than "work good, laziness bad", is where the real magic happens. Because then we can understand that our entire system is built the way it was, because it needed to function that way in preindustrial times for us to function. We also kind of uncover the fact that a lot of the fathers of the modern work ethic were inherently authoritarian and believed in work as a way to keep people busy so they didn't do things like...ya know, sinning, or doing what I'm doing and questioning religion and their entire ethical system. 

Once we don't just assume work good, we can work at eliminating work, and seeking to minimize people's compulsion to do it. Obviously early on, we will need to balance these ambitions with reality, but over time, i think an anti work mindset would build a better world, one that is far less coercive and allows people to fill their time doing what they want to do, not what they have to do. And, of course, because work will almost always likely exist in some form, we just need to maintain a healthy balance of incentives to ensure stuff gets done. But that doesn't mean we should have this moral obligation to work. Heck, as a libertarian, I'll be blunt, I dont think we should have a moral obligation to do anything outside of extreme situations that force such a thing on the basis of life, death, or the sustainability of that society. If we can minimize positive moral obligations, I'd say that's a very good thing, as it would give people more liberty to do what they want. 

And I think the sooner we realize how much better this kind of world would be, the better off we will be. Of course, people need to accept my arguments first, but hey, that's why I present them, to free your mind from what we just take for granted.

Friday, January 7, 2022

Like it or not, Biden won the election. Deal with it.

 I get it, I'm not a fan of Biden. I think he's worthless, but a lot of Trump supporters STILL seem to think that Trump won the election and Biden stole it. They believe this on the basis of mail in voting and random claims of stuffed ballot boxes. The election was intensely scrutinized, and despite tons of claims, none of them really panned out. Biden won, legitimately. Deal with it. 

Look, I understand statistics, and I covered that election. I had it basically at a 8:1 (88.5% vs 11.5%) chance that Biden would win. Biden was up 6.5% in the popular vote, and around 5% in the electoral college. If the statistics were correct, Trump's chance was very low. And Trump grossly overperformed as is. He overperformed about 4 points in the electoral college, flipping North Carolina, Maine CD2, and Florida, as well as winning every state I called him to win. And he won some of those states by a large margin. And even the states Biden won, like Pennsylvania, and Michigan, and Wisconsin, and Nevada, Biden won them by a MUCH smaller margin than I anticipated. I expected a blowout. Instead Biden barely won.

But...he did win. These results should not be surprising. if anything was the surprise, it was that Trump repeated his 2016 success and overperformed by as much as he did. There were a few days there where it looked like Trump might win a second term. Of course, the mail in votes being counted late contributed to this early "red shift". Trumpers showed up in person, unafraid of catching coronavirus, while Biden supporters mailed their stuff in, because they actually, ya know, listen to science and stuff. 

Speaking of that, that's really what this myth that Biden stole the election comes down to. A refusal to accept reality, and to continue getting high off of Trump's own farts. Telling each other reassuring lies that they really won, but that the election was stolen.

It wasn't. The votes were legit, and the people had spoken. You might not like the results, but you can't deny reality.

And before anyone thinks I'm a dem partisan (I'm not, read the blog), I called out Clinton in 2016 when she lost too. She was salty, she deflected blame, blamed Russia, tried to cast a shadow of doubt over Trump's candidacy. But you know what? She lost. And it wasn't just because of Russia. It was mainly because she pissed people off in the rust belt. I covered that election too. While Hillary had a strong showing for much of election season, she did have a couple times where her lead was called into question, and she also suffered from the unfortunate fact that as the last minute voters made up their mind, they liked Trump. Now, you could technically blame Russia and say if they didn't post FB ads or whatever, she would win, but let's face it, the margins were so narrow almost anything could be blamed, and honestly, I think her pissing off rust belt voters was more a Hillary problem than a Russia problem. Had she actually been a decent candidate, that 0.1% of Russian influence wouldn't have mattered much. And the fact that 2020 repeated the same overperformance of Trump is really indicative of...people liking Trump. 

Anyway, to break down the stats, Hillary had roughly a 56% chance of winning in my book on election day. That's literally down to a coin flip almost. And all of the results were within the margin of error. Trump just grossly overperformed in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. And even in states I had in the Trump column like Ohio and Iowa, Trump overperformed. Hell, Trump almost won MINNESOTA in 2016. Ya know, the state not even Reagan won in his 1984 landslide

Hillary screwed up too. And the election results were legit there, and I was calling that while all the pink hat wearers were chanting "not my president" and making morons out of themselves on inauguration day. To be fair, Trump one upped them on that one, committing a failed insurrection on the capitol on Jan 6th last year, the anniversary of which is why I'm writing this, but still. 

The point is, our elections are legitimate. You can complain about a bunch of different factors with them. The two party system, the closed primary system, the effects of money on politics, blah blah blah. Even interference by foreign countries at times. But, let's face it. When the votes are cast, the results are what they are. And you have to accept that. Criticize the system and push for reforms if you think something was off about the process of getting to the results (I have my own complaints as you all know), but the results were legit. Deal with it. Live with it. It's part of what living in a democracy is all about.

Thursday, January 6, 2022

On this January 6th anniversary, let's not ever forget that Trump is a piece of crap

 Yep. It's that time of year again. A year ago I was watching January 6th unfold in real time as people stormed the capitol building and it took several hours for the police to be able to respond. It was baffling, why weren't they there stopping it? Well, we know now it's because Trump discouraged a police response by keeping manpower away from the area and refusing to send people in until he had to. This allowed an unorganized mob to take over the capitol building for hours, and could have easily led to many congresspeople and senators getting injured or killed if they were caught by the mob. 

Despite this, the right likes to downplay what happened, because their loyalty to Trump superceded their loyalty to country. It's disgusting. Trump always was a wannabe dictator, and he tried hard to become a real one. He failed because our institutions were strong enough to withstand them, but here's the thing. He might be back in 2024. And he might win, given the dems being the jokes they are. I know I talk a lot of crap about the dems, and they deserve it, but Trump is a wanna be dictator an tyrant who actually still is popular among much of his voter base, and if a primary were held today, he would win, and if he were up against Biden, he would win. 

I'm not a mindless "trump bad vote blue no matter who" sycophant. I'm actually a third party person and will likely remain so given my dislike of democrats. But that doesn't mean I have to turn a blind eye and not call crap as it is. Trump is a piece of crap and should never be allowed to hold office again. Period. I won't tell you how to vote, due to my ethics on that, so do with that as you will. Whether you vote democrats, or third party, whatever. Just PLEASE, if you read this, don't vote for Trump again in 2024 if you have previously. He's a jerk, he doesn't deserve it, and if you're a republican, literally any other candidate would be better almost.