So another brief election update.
Race is 50-50, Harris has been backsliding a little in the margins, but nothing that fundamentally changes the nature of the race.
I did some simulations too. 52-45-3 is how they came out (Harris-Trump-Tie).
I also made a second simulation of just the big seven swing states (MI/WI/PA/AZ/NV/GA/NC) and got 57-41-2 with that one. So the race is, if anything, slightly favoring Harris, but it's still very close.
As far as the senate:
Once again, mostly changes around the edges. GOP has an 86% chance of outright control. Dems a 10% chance. 4% chance of a tie.
Simulations tell a slightly different story. They have an 81% chance of GOP control, 2% chance of democratic control, and a 17% chance of a tie.
And yeah, that's a super abridged election update.
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