So, Trump has a tentative deal with Iran, and democrats are losing their crap over it, calling it a "surrender" and how he's giving the farm away. The big sticking point seems to be the $300 billion in reparations Trump is giving them.
Now, here's my stance on this. i think the terms are fair. Trump NEVER should have invaded, and when he did, he severely underestimated them. He thought he was gonna bomb them, it was gonna be easy, but he bit off more than he could chew. You see, Iran doesnt have to BEAT us to beat us. It's asymmetrical warfare. In situations like that, all you need to do is to make continuing the war painful in hopes that the other side will back off, and that's what Iran did. They didnt need to beat our navy. They just had to close the strait and make it unsafe for ships to pass through, greatly disrupting global trade. And we couldnt really stop them from doing this. We got a huge conventional military, they got underhanded terrorism and guerilla tactics.
For us to win the war directly, we would have needed a ground invasion of the country. And Iran is....a much larger country than Iraq or Afghanistan, with very mountainous terrain. It could have cost hundreds of billions of dollars, if not trillions over time, thousands of American lives, like, say we take the 4k death toll from Iraq and multiply it by 4, that's 16k servicepeople killed. Trump already boosted our military budget by $500 billion this year just to fight this war. $300 billion to end it is a small price to pay all things considered. It might look horribly optically, but that's the conundrum Trump forced us into.
And I wanna focus on that here, ALL of this is Trump's fault. This was an unforced error. He did this because he wanted to. He thought he could go in, bomb some stuff, get out, and distract from the Epstein files. but thats the problem with these wars in the middle east. You break it, you bought it. You invade a country, upend its leadership, it takes years to get out, and often times, things are no better when we leave. The Taliban took over Afghanistan again when we left in 2021, after 20 years of occupation. Iraq's provisional government got overrun by ISIS. Here, we replaced Khamenei with Khamenei, and gotta pay them reparations for breaking their crap. Okay, fair.
And on nukes....the terms of the deal are still being hashed out, but Iran is promising not to pursue nukes. Basically, this is probably gonna be the Obama deal again, or something similar, which shows what a good "deal maker" Trump is. Tore up the deal in his first term, attacked in his second, and now they're getting some variation of the deal back AND money. Well, that's how it's gonna have to be. I blame Trump for this entirely. More specifically, I blame him for invading, not taking the deal. If I were president coming in after Trump, I'd be offering a similar deal, and probably being hated for it. "Oh, I'm weak, oh I'm surrendering."
Again, this is how it has to be. They have all the cards, they have the leverage, the only way to weasel out of this is to fight the war and actually WIN, and the cost of that is MUCH higher, and honestly, EVEN THEN, we're probably not gonna get a favorable outcome, given how Iraq and Afghanistan went. Again, this is the best Trump can do. You got a problem with it, blame him for getting us involved in the first place. I wanna make that clear, I dont blame Trump for taking this deal to get out. I blame him for getting us into it in the first place. We never should've invaded, we never should've ripped up the Obama deal. Trump screwed up. This is all on him.
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