The amount of cope I'm seeing coming from the democrats lately is astounding. Now they're saying that the republican base might be divided because Trump ONLY won South Carolina by 60% vs Haley's 40%.
Look, we've run stats before. A 20 point lead is a BLOWOUT. Let's be honest. And while it does show that there are diverging opinions within the republican party, let's be real. This was Nikki Haley's last stand. This was south carolina, her home state. This was the big win she was looking for. She NEEDED to WIN here to prove that she would be viable. Because it's all downhill from here. You think other states that she's not from would like her MORE? Odds are they'll like her LESS. And she'll do 70-30 or 80-20 in them.
I guess people are comparing it to Biden's dictatoresque 96% wins and stuff like that. Maybe so. There is more divergence on the right than the left. Of course, on the right the primary is more open while biden is the incumbent on the left. And incumbents normally dont face ANY challenges at all. Honestly, there is little to no appetite in the democratic party to dump biden despite concerns about age. Because most of those concerns come not from the loyal rank and file voters, but from independents and less aligned liberals like myself who lean left but dont like the democratic party. And while some of these people (including me) might be making a lot of noise, the actual mathematical reality is most people in the democratic party who vote like Biden.
We'll see what 2028 looks like, but Trump winning 60-40 in his opponent's home state is nothing less by a decisive victory. And we need to stop acting like it isn't. It's basically copium. People are basically saying this because they have some idea that those 40% arent gonna back trump in the general, when in reality, most probably will. You might have some defectors, but a lot of those guys are....independents who registered to vote in the primary, or right leaning independents who are loosely affiliated with the republican party, much like i am with the democrats. As in, they lean that way but arent loyal.
Odds are, many of these people will vote for RFK or some "no labels" alternative like a Dean Phillips/Nikki Haley ticket being floated. But they wont vote for Biden. Just like those of us on the right won't vote for Trump, but might like RFK, Dean Phillips, or Cornel West/Jill Stein.
So....who are we kidding? Look at the actual polls. Who is winning in the actual polls? Republicans, and by large margins. This is the reddest presidential election I've seen in my life time that I can remember. Keep in mind, Trump won last time by statistical fluke, and 2000 and 2004 were very close wins for the GOP. The GOP hasnt had a major blowout since 1988. And I was like an infant then. So, let's be real. These nuimbers, not good for democrats. And the democrats need to get their heads out of the sand. Their reality denial is concerning.
This isnt to say Biden isnt the best person for the job, empirically he is. And democrats do significantly worse with another nominee. So despite people saying they want someone different, the second anyone is named, the coalition implodes and the GOP does even better.
This is a problem. let's not deny it. Let's not sit in our own little world acting like that this isn't the case, and Biden is actually in a strong position, and the trump coalition is two seconds from imploding. I mean, it could, but what would do that isn't nikki haley. It's trump's 91 felony charges turning into convictions. If you want to destroy trump electorally, get the ball rolling on those court cases. Stop this small stuff like $300 million lawsuits. That's devastating to him financially, yes, but we need more if we want to destroy him electorally.
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