So...whipped up another batch of 10. These are gonna be kind of weird...
Simulation 71
Solid harris win with AZ as a bonus. Not the most likely map, but it's within the realm of possibility and is one of the more "normal" ones of this bunch.
Simulation 72
Here we randomly lose virginia.
Simulation 73
Another weird map where we lose virginia.
Simulation 74
Weird blue kansas map...
Simulation 75
And this time we get blue iowa....
Simulation 76
Another red virginia, i had to keep double check to make sure the simulator wasn't broken...
Simulation 77
Another loss for dems. No real comment here.
Simulation 78
When we lose so bad we dont take a single "swing state" and lose new mexico. Great night for trump.
Simulation 79
Michigan, Wisconsin, and then...Nevada and Georgia. This is one of those "how do we win without Pennsylvania" maps. Given Georgia's probability of going blue is roughly 25% right now, i wouldnt count on it, but it's a possible path to victory.
Simulation 80
I mean, NH just got downgraded to "lean dem" so it's about as much of a swing state as AZ and GA are at this point...
Tally so far...
54 Trump, 25 Harris, 1 tie
This particular set of 10 is closer to a distribution that I'd expect, but yeah, we're 80% done with our sample of 100 and most are trump wins. Kinda depressing. Anyway, I'll finish this up over the next couple days and if I feel like it do other simulations too.
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