100(+) simulations until election day: Day 1 part 2

 So, I decided I might do more than 100. It I feel like doing another batch of 10, I will. Today I do. Idk how long this will go on, so far these are already starting to get competitive and in future versions of this I may have to start cherrypicking. You'll see what I mean as I go through this second batch for today.

Simulation 11

Here we win North Carolina and Pennsylvania, but lose the other 5 and New Hampshire. Even putting aside New Hampshire, it goes to show that even if we win PA, we still need THREE swing states to win, and possibly more if we get random defections like this. 

Simulation 12

Here we win Wisconsin and Nevada, but nothing else. We lose. Yeah. Get ready, there's A LOT of these kinds of simulations in this batch.

Simulation 13

Wisconsin and Georgia, no dice. Another Trump win.

Simulation 14

Only Michigan. Sigh. Another one for Trump. Told you these become depressingly common. 

And they can happen. With 226-312 being the most likely outcome in my formal forecast, it's very well possible we randomly flip like 1-2 swing states, but not enough to seal the deal with the American people. 

Simulation 15

Harris win with Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, and Arizona. Maps like this are also possible.

Simulation 16

Pennsylvania and Nevada. Once again, need 3 states. Maybe 4 if Nevada is one of them. Keep in mind one of the 16ers would only get us 267. 

Simulation 17

North Carolina, Michigan, and Nevada. Again, no dice. Need Pennsylvania or Georgia here (barring the Nevada flip). 

Simulation 18

One of the definitive go to Harris win maps. At Harris's peak, this was one of the most likely maps. Rust belt trio + Nevada. If Harris wins, I could see this being THE 2024 map. 

Simulation 19

Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania. Should be a win. Then Minnesota goes red. What did you do, Tim? WHAT DID YOU DO?!

Simulation 20

Pennsylvania and North Carolina. Almost had to do a double take to make sure this wasnt 11 again, but that one had New Hampshire flipping red.

Yeah...I'm gonna be honest. This is getting repetitive. I'll still do random ones, but if I get repeat scenarios and I catch them, I'll try to throw them out. I mean, we don't get things to get too boring with me showing Harris getting Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nevada and then losing for the 3rd time.

Total so far

But yeah, let's add these to the tally. 

14 Trump, 6 Harris

Before people freak out and think we're doomed, I wanna say, relax. These runs happen sometimes. Sometimes I'll get a string of like 10 trump wins...then I'll get 10 harris ones. This is why you do larger samples. As we know from the big simulator, even like 10 different batches will give varying results. And given there would still be 80 simulations to go before we hit 100, things can even out.

That said I'm not sure I will continue to do truly random outcomes. As I said, if I start getting repeats, I'll throw them out. I wanna see if my election simulator can predict the real outcome. And I wanna make this interesting, so if I just keep getting the same old boring scenarios pop back up, and I catch them, I'll make sure I throw them out. If I get a repeat I missed, I'm sorry, but I'll try to avoid doing that.